wrongdirection
0xb8ca92025fcd095b159129abed6ef1f0df779fac
- Realised P&L
- $893.71
- Volume
- $75.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,324
- Open portfolio
- $53.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,324
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$230.21at 0.009Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 24?
- +$131.95at 0.001Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?
- +$125.28at 0.010AEK vs. OFI: Neither team to score first?
- +$82.71at 0.014Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on August 27?
- +$71.54at 0.012Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 04:19 | Will Bolivia win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.14 |
| 09-25 04:19 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-32 House seat? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.39 |
| 09-24 12:02 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.43 |
| 09-23 20:42 | Will Republicans win the Alaska Governor election and Democrats win the Alaska Senate election? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.09 |
| 09-23 16:25 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 25%-30%? | SELL | 0.055 | $0.64 |
| 09-23 16:25 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.05 |
| 09-22 12:25 | Will Muscadine Bloodline win Vocal Duo of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.08 |
| 09-22 12:25 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-12 House election by 10%-15%? | SELL | 0.151 | $0.45 |
| 09-22 04:33 | Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on September 26? | SELL | 0.983 | $15.01 |
| 09-21 17:58 | Will Dominican Republic win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.24 |
| 09-21 13:15 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.23 |
| 09-21 05:38 | Will Dean Young win the next Clarence mayoral election? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.48 |
| 09-21 05:38 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 30%-35%? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.36 |
| 09-21 05:38 | Will Thelma & James win Vocal Duo of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.08 |
| 09-20 22:10 | Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.06 |