PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

wrongdirection

0xb8ca92025fcd095b159129abed6ef1f0df779fac

Realised P&L
$893.71
Volume
$75.0k
Markets traded
1,324
Open portfolio
$53.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,324
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the match end in a draw? · Yes0.0380.405$6.62+$5.99
Will Maria Pappas win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election? · Yes0.0030.041$2.15+$1.99
Will Matt Brewer win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election? · Yes0.0030.035$2.00+$1.83
Will Kam Buckner win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election? · Yes0.0030.043$1.90+$1.77
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 3%-6%? · Yes0.0060.099$1.62+$1.51
Will Aurora Gaming win PGL Wallachia Season 9? · Yes0.0060.057$1.46+$1.31
Will Florida Atlantic Owls Win the 2026 American Conference? · Yes0.0040.069$1.37+$1.28
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-01 House election by 75% or more? · Yes0.0050.041$1.18+$1.03
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1? · Yes0.0200.097$1.07+$0.85
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 0%-5%? · Yes0.0060.029$1.05+$0.82
Will Carion Fenn win the 2026 Ajax mayoral election? · Yes0.0130.048$1.05+$0.77
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 45% or more? · Yes0.0060.056$1.01+$0.90
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 12% or more? · Yes0.0120.072$1.00+$0.84
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 5%-10%? · Yes0.0080.069$1.00+$0.89
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 0%-25%? · Yes0.0040.027$0.97+$0.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 04:19Will Bolivia win on 2026-09-27?SELL0.14$0.14
09-25 04:19Will the Republican Party win the CA-32 House seat?SELL0.005$0.39
09-24 12:02Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?SELL0.23$0.43
09-23 20:42Will Republicans win the Alaska Governor election and Democrats win the Alaska Senate election?SELL0.029$0.09
09-23 16:25Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 25%-30%?SELL0.055$0.64
09-23 16:25Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?SELL0.004$0.05
09-22 12:25Will Muscadine Bloodline win Vocal Duo of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?SELL0.003$0.08
09-22 12:25Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-12 House election by 10%-15%?SELL0.151$0.45
09-22 04:33Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on September 26?SELL0.983$15.01
09-21 17:58Will Dominican Republic win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League?SELL0.11$0.24
09-21 13:15Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?SELL0.12$0.23
09-21 05:38Will Dean Young win the next Clarence mayoral election?SELL0.009$0.48
09-21 05:38Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 30%-35%?SELL0.17$1.36
09-21 05:38Will Thelma & James win Vocal Duo of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?SELL0.01$0.08
09-20 22:10Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.01$0.06