PolyBot

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Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.060. up 0.012 over the period, from 0.048. Range 0.048 to 0.060. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0681717
0.069120137
0.070228364
0.07120384
0.07220404
0.0737101,114
0.075201,134
0.077521,186
0.0781201,306
0.079601,366
0.0813121,678
0.0882101,888

Spread0.016Mid0.060

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0522121
0.05199120
0.050160280
0.04920300
0.04820320
0.04755375
0.045212587
0.044204791
0.0434351,226
0.0422531,479
0.0413241,802
0.039101,812

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9482121
0.94999120
0.950160280
0.95120300
0.95220320
0.95355375
0.955212587
0.956204791
0.9574351,226
0.9582531,479
0.9593241,802
0.961101,812

Spread0.016Mid0.940

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9321717
0.931120137
0.930228364
0.92920384
0.92820404
0.9277101,114
0.925201,134
0.923521,186
0.9221201,306
0.921601,366
0.9193121,678
0.9122101,888

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
aenews2Yes2,673.13
AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommitteeYes2,014.07
smallfYes1,261.13
tescatYes1,172
tobyvacherYes1,088
Hans323Yes868.5
aviad102Yes582.01
GimmaerYes556.64
PaddyAlphaYes410
no-edgeYes384.42
0xeD4728a4f94F12f6e0764a89155D01a423F49D90-1772916863485Yes356.5
BikesAreTheBikesYes341.29
QbertRulesYes300
0x4C121DaE1B9326cA53EF98afA06Fa71393d362Cc-1775855980350Yes222.72
PraescientiaYes171.64
whigYes159.9
shinramyvnYes146.14
WhatTheBetYes141.23
thecaricatureYes135.62
0x4773…322cYes122.15

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
01:17:04BUYNo0.94517$15.59
18:25:48BUYYes0.06645660$3.99
03:06:42SELLNo0.93991443546$43.17
12:22:16SELLYes0.0487517788184$8.98
13:07:12SELLNo0.9395$4.76
12:57:15SELLNo0.941516452121$19.74
12:55:46BUYYes0.058850645734$2.00
12:55:37BUYYes0.056999998918$1.00
07:48:09SELLNo0.9473$3.08
11:31:00SELLYes0.04713$0.63
18:06:12SELLNo0.94791$86.07
18:06:00SELLNo0.94837$35.51
11:37:12SELLNo0.94740$37.88
11:36:43SELLNo0.94729$27.57
11:33:16SELLNo0.94740$37.88
11:30:04BUYYes0.0508913735184$9.37
13:43:04SELLNo0.95220$19.04
13:22:03BUYYes0.047999999642$2.00
20:26:46BUYYes0.05121$1.05
06:27:52SELLNo0.94831$29.44
06:27:45SELLNo0.94831$29.44
06:27:18SELLNo0.94840$37.92
06:27:09SELLNo0.94840$37.92
06:22:42SELLNo0.94840$37.92
06:21:16SELLNo0.948676328562$58.91