Gimmaer
0x29a39d8ecf7122e7b538b96bc714eac2d4dc9b79
- Realised P&L
- $-6.8k
- Volume
- $5.20M
- Markets traded
- 336
- Open portfolio
- $582.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded336
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.645 | $322.50 | −$52.50 |
| Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.650 | $130.00 | −$26.00 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.086 | $48.09 | −$24.27 |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $12.5B by December 31? · No | 0.840 | 0.790 | $39.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.090 | $24.49 | +$0.95 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.110 | 0.115 | $17.63 | +$0.77 |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.055 | $0.46 | −$1.04 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · No | 0.217 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.570Spurs vs. Timberwolves
- +$590.04at 0.260US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$378.83at 0.750Packers vs. Vikings
- +$352.35at 0.997Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?
- +$317.81at 0.710GPT-5 not announced in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 15:48 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $1.5k |
| 07-31 13:26 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $320.85 |
| 07-31 11:43 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.906 | $284.09 |
| 07-31 11:43 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.905 | $81.45 |
| 07-31 11:43 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.905 | $81.45 |
| 07-31 11:43 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.905 | $81.45 |
| 07-31 11:43 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.906 | $45.30 |
| 07-31 10:00 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.096 | $109.92 |
| 07-31 09:50 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.1290210632 | $90.96 |
| 07-31 09:49 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.193 | $162.28 |
| 07-31 09:38 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.889 | $939.34 |
| 07-31 09:38 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.882 | $58.21 |
| 07-31 09:38 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.882 | $97.02 |
| 07-30 22:38 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.771 | $15.42 |
| 07-30 22:36 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.761 | $76.09 |