aviad102
0x07e4a017a44cadb8f027e02c06566ff25e376c18
- Realised P&L
- $-133.98
- Volume
- $38.7k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $127.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$633.23at 0.103Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
- +$276.21at 0.435Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
- +$70.77at 0.420Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in June?
- +$42.22at 0.108Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
- +$33.66at 0.750Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $145 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 11:47 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.0409999998 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 09:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 27? | BUY | 0.6989999995 | $328.67 |
| 08-23 09:19 | Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.7 | $208.95 |
| 08-23 09:19 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.5650058122 | $75.82 |
| 08-23 09:19 | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-24? | SELL | 0.76 | $52.77 |
| 08-23 09:19 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.981 | $2.80 |
| 08-21 12:27 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 10:36 | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-24? | BUY | 0.7199999965 | $50.00 |
| 08-16 10:34 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-16? | SELL | 0.65 | $50.78 |
| 08-14 08:43 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.0558035017 | $30.00 |
| 08-14 08:40 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6699999972 | $50.00 |
| 08-14 08:37 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-16? | BUY | 0.64 | $50.00 |
| 08-12 05:00 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? | BUY | 0.73 | $67.16 |
| 08-12 04:58 | Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $200.00 |
| 08-11 11:07 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $145 in August? | BUY | 0.7424272421 | $100.00 |