aviad102
0x07e4a017a44cadb8f027e02c06566ff25e376c18
- Realised P&L
- $505.40
- Volume
- $30.0k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $794.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$635.74at 0.099Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
- +$276.22at 0.436Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
- +$71.95at 0.410Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in June?
- +$43.52at 0.104Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
- +$29.80at 0.539GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 05:00 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.669999995 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 04:57 | Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.0904849632 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 04:57 | Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.085908593 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 04:54 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? | SELL | 0.1049800223 | $39.52 |
| 07-31 09:51 | GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.86 | $79.80 |
| 07-29 10:41 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8099999964 | $220.00 |
| 07-29 10:40 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.19 | $28.50 |
| 07-29 10:38 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $30.00 |
| 07-29 10:34 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1011128747 | $40.58 |
| 07-29 10:33 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.516 | $125.54 |
| 07-29 10:33 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.429 | $22.17 |
| 07-26 12:50 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? | BUY | 0.6786088502 | $100.00 |
| 07-22 07:33 | Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? | BUY | 0.519467713 | $50.00 |
| 07-22 07:28 | Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026? | BUY | 0.2215810221 | $20.00 |
| 07-17 05:58 | Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.6465731619 | $100.00 |