PolyBot

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Traders

aviad102

0x07e4a017a44cadb8f027e02c06566ff25e376c18

Realised P&L
$-133.98
Volume
$38.7k
Markets traded
94
Open portfolio
$127.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded94
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.6700.595$44.40$5.60
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0860.060$34.92$15.08
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? · Yes0.0560.036$19.62$10.38
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? · Yes0.3010.175$17.45$12.55
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.065$5.65$14.35
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0970.011$3.26$26.74
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? · Yes0.0410.004$1.09$8.91
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0450.002$0.89$19.11
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · No0.0410.018$0.45$0.55
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$10.00
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$260.25
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026? · No0.2220.000$0.00$20.00
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? · No0.7300.000$0.00$67.16
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June? · No0.6400.000$0.00$30.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 27? · No0.6990.000$0.00$328.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 11:47Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.0409999998$1.00
08-23 09:24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 27?BUY0.6989999995$328.67
08-23 09:19Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?SELL0.7$208.95
08-23 09:19Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.5650058122$75.82
08-23 09:19Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-24?SELL0.76$52.77
08-23 09:19Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?SELL0.981$2.80
08-21 12:27Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?BUY0.3499998775$1.00
08-16 10:36Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-24?BUY0.7199999965$50.00
08-16 10:34Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-16?SELL0.65$50.78
08-14 08:43Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?BUY0.0558035017$30.00
08-14 08:40Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.6699999972$50.00
08-14 08:37Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-16?BUY0.64$50.00
08-12 05:00Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?BUY0.73$67.16
08-12 04:58Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?BUY0.6699999993$200.00
08-11 11:07Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $145 in August?BUY0.7424272421$100.00