PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

smallf

0xd1091712f4ed0e17261feb174f5c080977506fa0

Realised P&L
$92.3k
Volume
$2.28M
Markets traded
309
Open portfolio
$5.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded309
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8120.421$2.7k−$2.5k
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2340.144$1.3k−$804.24
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.2290.135$270.00−$187.61
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.9260.055$210.32−$3.3k
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.2360.285$206.10+$35.43
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2850.034$202.54−$1.5k
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.2000.175$121.84−$17.34
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1770.030$38.46−$185.18
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0100.008$28.64−$6.89
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? · Yes0.2800.900$16.96+$11.68
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0060.005$12.92−$1.17
Trump calls Nicki Minaj hot again in 2026? · No0.7640.821$9.56+$0.66
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0050.005$5.18+$0.00
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? · Yes0.2590.000$0.00−$292.98
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? · No0.3330.000$0.00−$312.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 01:32Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?BUY0.43$258.00
10-16 01:28Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?BUY0.44$132.00
10-16 01:27Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?BUY0.214853475$4.85
10-16 01:27Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?BUY0.2211952191$13.88
10-16 01:18Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?BUY0.8$1.1k
10-16 01:12Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?BUY0.85$3.0k
10-16 01:11Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?BUY0.7647657272$1.8k
10-16 01:11Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?BUY0.6432624576$286.19
10-16 01:11Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?BUY0.58$116.00
10-16 01:10Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?BUY0.3399492767$335.10
09-27 01:09UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Luis Hernandez (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.32$500.00
09-23 00:56Dana White's Contender Series: Jaden Ortega vs. Alvi Dasuyev (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.0552948795$10.00
09-23 00:55Dana White's Contender Series: Jaden Ortega vs. Alvi Dasuyev (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.25$200.00
09-04 12:19Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?BUY0.67$134.00
09-03 04:11US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.18$597.43