smallf
0xd1091712f4ed0e17261feb174f5c080977506fa0
- Realised P&L
- $81.4k
- Volume
- $2.27M
- Markets traded
- 303
- Open portfolio
- $17.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded303
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.3kat 0.525Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$34.7kat 0.452US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$17.2kat 0.677Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
- +$13.0kat 0.349Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$7.6kat 0.597US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 12:19 | Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $134.00 |
| 09-03 04:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $597.43 |
| 09-03 04:03 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | BUY | 0.6 | $108.52 |
| 09-03 04:02 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.3 | $444.57 |
| 08-24 06:07 | Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? | BUY | 0.6732419557 | $1.9k |
| 08-23 02:51 | UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.9347738662 | $1000.00 |
| 08-23 02:37 | UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4299999998 | $500.00 |
| 08-23 02:37 | UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3899999959 | $50.00 |
| 08-23 02:36 | UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3899999982 | $100.00 |
| 08-23 02:36 | UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4308656454 | $50.00 |
| 08-21 05:30 | Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.39 | $683.69 |
| 08-20 23:32 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.053197001 | $101.07 |
| 08-20 20:29 | Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.4099999999 | $2.0k |
| 08-20 20:22 | Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.4099999999 | $2.2k |
| 08-12 22:14 | Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 14? | BUY | 0.9818680569 | $1.6k |