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Traders

smallf

0xd1091712f4ed0e17261feb174f5c080977506fa0

Realised P&L
$81.4k
Volume
$2.27M
Markets traded
303
Open portfolio
$17.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded303
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration85.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8120.608$3.9k$1.3k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.6720.325$3.9k$4.2k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6730.135$3.2k$12.6k
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes0.3001.000$1.7k+$1.2k
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2340.171$1.5k$566.17
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? · No0.4750.985$896.35+$464.10
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.9260.195$745.69$2.8k
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8500.967$473.58+$57.08
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2850.065$387.20$1.3k
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.2290.145$290.00$167.61
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · No0.8880.066$251.57$3.2k
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.2360.235$169.94$0.73
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.2000.210$146.21+$7.02
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · Yes0.4360.125$79.75$198.31
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1770.058$73.15$150.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 12:19Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?BUY0.67$134.00
09-03 04:11US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.18$597.43
09-03 04:03US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?BUY0.6$108.52
09-03 04:02US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.3$444.57
08-24 06:07Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?BUY0.6732419557$1.9k
08-23 02:51UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.9347738662$1000.00
08-23 02:37UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.4299999998$500.00
08-23 02:37UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.3899999959$50.00
08-23 02:36UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.3899999982$100.00
08-23 02:36UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.4308656454$50.00
08-21 05:30Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.39$683.69
08-20 23:32NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?SELL0.053197001$101.07
08-20 20:29Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.4099999999$2.0k
08-20 20:22Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.4099999999$2.2k
08-12 22:14Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 14?BUY0.9818680569$1.6k
Trader smallf · PolyBot Pro