AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommittee
0x64b47229f7b9340ccbd52768959fb55ac148b21e
- Realised P&L
- $5.1k
- Volume
- $183.2k
- Markets traded
- 179
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded179
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.211US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$1.1kat 0.297MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$944.83at 0.286Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$883.42at 0.599Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$735.31at 0.651Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 14:04 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $132.00 |
| 09-17 14:03 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $220.00 |
| 09-16 19:01 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.728483923 | $343.47 |
| 09-14 21:50 | Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30? | BUY | 0.88 | $52.80 |
| 09-14 21:22 | NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15? | BUY | 0.1857946636 | $9.61 |
| 09-14 20:35 | Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? | BUY | 0.071 | $2.73 |
| 09-14 16:10 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $120.00 |
| 09-14 16:10 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $21.64 |
| 09-14 02:55 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | SELL | 0.253728994 | $121.54 |
| 09-14 02:16 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.3093850161 | $171.05 |
| 09-13 19:10 | Will the announcers say "Late Hit" during the Cardinals vs Chargers game? | SELL | 0.23 | $75.79 |
| 09-13 18:11 | Will the announcers say "Late Hit" during the Cardinals vs Chargers game? | BUY | 0.2390423014 | $78.77 |
| 09-13 17:42 | Will the announcers say "One Handed" during the Cardinals vs Chargers game? | BUY | 0.87 | $43.50 |
| 09-13 17:42 | Will the announcers say "Inch" or "Inches" during the Cardinals vs Chargers game? | BUY | 0.3299996 | $82.50 |
| 09-11 23:17 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | SELL | 0.9907500714 | $138.74 |