0xeD4728a4f94F12f6e0764a89155D01a423F49D90-1772916863485
0xed4728a4f94f12f6e0764a89155d01a423f49d90
- Realised P&L
- $325.52
- Volume
- $38.2k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $679.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$403.21at 0.113Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$400.08at 0.280Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$296.40at 0.407Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5
- +$295.29at 0.741Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
- +$219.61at 0.532Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 15:48 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.7239751547 | $90.00 |
| 08-16 13:20 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.6525282255 | $200.00 |
| 08-02 15:42 | Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.0981764956 | $35.00 |
| 08-02 15:39 | Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.2781458767 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 20:31 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.3108489038 | $57.56 |
| 08-01 17:33 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.2699999963 | $50.00 |
| 07-25 19:57 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.0839999993 | $100.00 |
| 07-24 08:16 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | SELL | 0.36 | $133.33 |
| 07-23 17:04 | Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.1406533326 | $74.68 |
| 07-23 12:48 | Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.188430375 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 08:57 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | SELL | 0.4882427682 | $70.55 |
| 07-22 19:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | BUY | 0.3459999967 | $50.00 |
| 07-22 17:04 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | BUY | 0.7399999963 | $150.00 |
| 07-22 17:03 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.4199999977 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 19:09 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2549999986 | $100.00 |