PolyBot

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Traders

0xeD4728a4f94F12f6e0764a89155D01a423F49D90-1772916863485

0xed4728a4f94f12f6e0764a89155d01a423f49d90

Realised P&L
$325.52
Volume
$38.2k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$679.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.6520.840$257.46+$57.46
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6100.765$125.41+$25.41
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6000.705$117.50+$17.50
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes0.2780.615$110.55+$60.55
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.1100.185$33.64+$13.64
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0980.060$21.39$13.61
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · No0.0700.036$10.29$9.71
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.2920.013$2.31$47.69
Will Jacob deGrom win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? · Yes0.1050.002$1.00$69.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2520.000$0.00$150.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$150.00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.6560.000$0.00$150.00
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? · No0.0150.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET · Down0.3830.000$0.00$63.26
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4170.000$0.00$400.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-21 15:48Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 21, 2026?BUY0.7239751547$90.00
08-16 13:20Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.6525282255$200.00
08-02 15:42Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?BUY0.0981764956$35.00
08-02 15:39Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?BUY0.2781458767$50.00
08-01 20:31Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.3108489038$57.56
08-01 17:33Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.2699999963$50.00
07-25 19:57Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?BUY0.0839999993$100.00
07-24 08:16Israel closes its airspace by July 31?SELL0.36$133.33
07-23 17:04Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.1406533326$74.68
07-23 12:48Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.188430375$100.00
07-23 08:57Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?SELL0.4882427682$70.55
07-22 19:34Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?BUY0.3459999967$50.00
07-22 17:04US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?BUY0.7399999963$150.00
07-22 17:03Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.4199999977$100.00
07-19 19:09Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2549999986$100.00