alivedeer
0xe0c5e955572d182dd38cf3eddb9700c099b9913c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $864.8k
- Markets traded
- 295
- Open portfolio
- $7.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded295
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$554.48at 0.056Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$423.98at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
- +$325.86at 0.736Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
- +$258.55at 0.545Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
- +$217.56at 0.630Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-25 10:18 | Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May? | SELL | 0.2 | $6.00 |
| 05-25 10:18 | Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website? | SELL | 0.6 | $5.99 |
| 05-25 10:18 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 05-25 10:18 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.93 |
| 05-25 10:17 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.2243971074 | $185.56 |
| 05-10 12:34 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.32 |
| 05-10 12:33 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 05-10 12:29 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.04 |
| 05-10 12:29 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.039 | $1.95 |
| 05-10 12:27 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.036 | $15.46 |
| 05-10 12:24 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $173.66 |
| 05-10 12:10 | Epstein suicide note released by May 8? | SELL | 0.0112401216 | $36.98 |
| 05-10 12:08 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | SELL | 0.021 | $14.70 |
| 05-10 12:06 | Epstein suicide note released by May 8? | SELL | 0.012 | $6.16 |
| 05-10 11:56 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0268251165 | $13.00 |