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Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Resolves by
https://lmarena.ai/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.003. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.004. Range 0.003 to 0.004. 145 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0037,4757,475
0.00416,16123,636
0.0055,52629,161
0.0067,00736,168
0.0073,48439,652
0.0086,08345,735
0.0093,59649,332
0.0101,67151,003
0.01111,69962,701
0.0126,17768,879
0.01859769,475
0.0191,20070,675

Spread0.001Mid0.003

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00250,12350,123
0.001132,010182,133

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99850,12350,123
0.999132,010182,133

Spread0.001Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9977,4757,475
0.99616,16123,636
0.9955,52629,161
0.9947,00736,168
0.9933,48439,652
0.9926,08345,735
0.9913,59649,332
0.9901,67151,003
0.98911,69962,701
0.9886,17768,879
0.98259769,475
0.9811,20070,675

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
jozeslemsekYes35,698.71
OnYesYesYes18,129.63
AnimalEaterYes16,323.32
0x67918B45D58ada7de1eea9e3b483d8Ea5F9d0434-1783201601509Yes11,214.29
fiterYes10,149.98
BornAgain26Yes7,718.96
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938Yes7,586
BabyGrootYes6,083.03
PMPDYes5,471.85
qing123Yes4,000
marvin-abcYes3,665
suntoriYes2,854.61
Tony10Yes2,491.97
0xeE8aef5aDC04FFb8Cb3417233389473246BDf0b0-1773254929104Yes2,316.27
ttyooYes2,195.53
0x8a346B73716505AF062872A5786D16323a1e0a4D-1774350542223Yes2,122.94
lpgbYes1,711.8
Crypto-WellYes1,688
WojtekYes1,499.99
0x491791a5567defda7Bca102d9122d67408D4E9C7-1782830033916Yes1,472.17

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:56:30BUYNo0.998105$104.79
17:25:58BUYYes0.003333$1.00
15:18:58SELLYes0.002200$0.40
15:18:13SELLYes0.002200$0.40
15:11:54SELLNo0.99711$11.42
14:58:22SELLNo0.9978$8.26
14:43:33BUYNo0.99820$19.70
11:25:15BUYNo0.99839$39.40
07:55:39SELLYes0.002200$0.40
07:55:00SELLYes0.002200$0.40
02:35:27BUYNo0.9985$5.00
00:24:31SELLYes0.002200$0.40
00:20:51BUYNo0.99853$52.95
00:20:45BUYNo0.99853$52.95
00:19:33SELLYes0.00225$0.05
00:19:01BUYNo0.99810$10.01
00:19:01BUYNo0.99845$44.91
00:19:01BUYNo0.99840$40.37
00:12:42SELLYes0.002200$0.40
23:11:04SELLYes0.002200$0.40
19:06:52SELLYes0.002200$0.40
19:06:13SELLYes0.002200$0.40
17:11:06SELLYes0.002100$0.20
17:10:30BUYNo0.998450$449.10
17:10:30BUYNo0.99810$10.28