PolyBot

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Traders

0x491791a5567defda7Bca102d9122d67408D4E9C7-1782830033916

0x491791a5567defda7bca102d9122d67408d4e9c7

Realised P&L
$101.87
Volume
$7.7k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$5.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 17:11Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.006519808$10.00
09-10 17:11Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.0067927053$10.00
09-06 08:39Will Alibaba have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?BUY0.008999991$1.00
09-06 08:39Will SpaceXAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0057471264$1.00
09-06 08:39Will Z.ai have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0013543437$1.00
09-06 08:39Will Meta have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0015245274$1.00
09-06 08:38Will ByteDance have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0017823787$1.00
09-06 08:38Will MiniMax have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0020595699$1.00
09-03 15:21Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?BUY0.04$0.80
09-03 14:30Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?BUY0.1299999789$5.00
08-25 14:19Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?BUY0.084999985$5.00
08-07 19:13Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?SELL0.684176$34.21
08-07 11:25Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2$10.00
07-07 22:06GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?BUY0.2$2.00
07-07 12:49Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETBUY0.4699998778$1.00