PolyBot

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Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.06. Unchanged over the period, from 0.06. Range 0.06 to 0.06. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.061,7491,749
0.071,6793,427
0.081,1434,570
0.091,0545,624
0.103005,924
0.1265,931
0.14495,980
0.3555,985
0.7895,994
0.791046,097
0.806296,726
0.817507,476

Spread0.01Mid0.06

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.05779779
0.041,0571,836
0.031,2553,091
0.023,3336,425
0.018,13714,562

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.95779779
0.961,0571,836
0.971,2553,091
0.983,3336,425
0.998,13714,562

Spread0.01Mid0.94

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.941,7491,749
0.931,6793,427
0.921,1434,570
0.911,0545,624
0.903005,924
0.8865,931
0.86495,980
0.6555,985
0.2295,994
0.211046,097
0.206296,726
0.197507,476

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
LornaPredictsYes445.6
Dr.PNLYes380.03
0x6b0e…e3eaYes361.07
rocky42013Yes300
1BTCis1BTCYes156.13
thecaricatureYes110.01
WordsmithYes104
BSS37Yes100
planktonXDYes99.6
Numitus1994Yes84
protonboyYes50
luisotavio0312Yes49.45
AJSVYes43.8
jensondYes29.95
romanew-cryptoYes22.96
53asdadYes21.7
Bsau4Yes20
sybaujustbetYes20
DooBieZYes20
0x2E1C6E971cff5c3259090d3dEa7802A15e4eDB61-1779115991589Yes14.99

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
08:29:42SELLNo0.9420$18.80
07:12:13BUYNo0.952$1.94
06:27:45SELLNo0.942$1.88
20:21:06BUYYes0.0650$3.00
10:08:45SELLNo0.942$1.88
09:14:22BUYNo0.952$1.94
22:35:18SELLNo0.942$1.88
21:41:16BUYNo0.952$1.94
22:46:03SELLNo0.9420$18.80
16:49:00SELLYes0.05140$7.00
16:48:37SELLYes0.05270673612,566$135.23
13:25:27SELLYes0.0631$1.87
03:52:18SELLNo0.9325$23.25
05:13:45SELLYes0.0620$1.20
05:13:22BUYNo0.93134$125.05
19:17:37SELLYes0.0750$3.50
12:48:58SELLNo0.923$3.03
11:03:24BUYYes0.0850$4.00
23:32:37BUYNo0.939$8.59
20:41:40SELLYes0.0710$0.70
10:38:04BUYYes0.0820$1.60
05:58:22BUYNo0.9310$9.30
22:01:33SELLYes0.0720$1.40
22:00:13SELLYes0.081,738$139.02
15:15:04SELLYes0.0852540$3.41