PolyBot

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Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-02-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.42. down 0.07 over the period, from 0.49. Range 0.41 to 0.51. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.44333333
0.45463796
0.462051,001
0.471461,147
0.48121,159
0.51751,234
0.522111,445
0.581001,545
0.591001,645
0.601001,745
0.644002,145
0.65802,225

Spread0.03Mid0.42

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.41644644
0.39270914
0.381,0001,914
0.331,0002,914
0.152003,114
0.137503,864
0.114544,318
0.101,2195,537
0.08215,558
0.071,7417,299
0.062,2349,533
0.053,17912,712

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.59644644
0.61270914
0.621,0001,914
0.671,0002,914
0.852003,114
0.877503,864
0.894544,318
0.901,2195,537
0.92215,558
0.931,7417,299
0.942,2349,533
0.953,17912,712

Spread0.03Mid0.57

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.56333333
0.55463796
0.542051,001
0.531461,147
0.52121,159
0.49751,234
0.482111,445
0.421001,545
0.411001,645
0.401001,745
0.364002,145
0.35802,225

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
fqy2026Yes1,300
0x5f62746Ad55527ad75b4795bec7cd45F557eD989-1782276826909Yes599.99
HaradwaithYes135.99
Ross1983Yes106.38
tradetosurvive1Yes88.8
zeitfi-vault-v2Yes30.64
LornaPredictsYes17
xtxpleasecallmeYes15.6
MaxEntYes13
GuyFromTinderYes5.23
mildwindow27Yes3
pootytherewardfarmerYes2.51
RainHailYes2.27
=Leon=Yes2.04
letsayCHINAYes2
0xa5ef…2966No1,778.61
Antony82No500
cigarettesNo20
balthazarNo6.4
0xbe7d7f7bd98d4a029a9d79f1bfe26d97dabea3No5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
01:37:51BUYYes0.4116$6.40
03:37:22SELLYes0.4220$8.40
01:37:33BUYYes0.4120$8.20
01:36:51BUYNo0.539999997693$50.00
01:36:51BUYNo0.5415$8.13
01:36:51BUYNo0.5430$16.20
01:36:51SELLYes0.4620$9.20
01:36:51BUYNo0.5463$34.10
01:36:51BUYNo0.5427$14.58
20:17:39BUYNo0.539999988137$20.00
20:13:10BUYNo0.5430$16.20
08:44:24SELLNo0.5300$150.00
08:08:37SELLYes0.460$0.16
07:41:06BUYNo0.5470$37.80
07:41:06BUYNo0.5425$13.50
07:41:06BUYNo0.5430$16.20
06:18:42BUYNo0.539999990323$12.20
06:18:42BUYNo0.5420$10.80
06:18:42BUYNo0.5418$9.72
06:40:43BUYYes0.48999983832$1.00
17:51:52BUYNo0.5420$10.80
15:38:04BUYNo0.5422$11.88
14:42:04BUYNo0.517$3.57
06:55:58BUYYes0.4830$14.40
06:05:52SELLYes0.473$1.40