0x5f62746Ad55527ad75b4795bec7cd45F557eD989-1782276826909
0x5f62746ad55527ad75b4795bec7cd45f557ed989
- Realised P&L
- $-5.1k
- Volume
- $3.88M
- Markets traded
- 181
- Open portfolio
- $5.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded181
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.652LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
- +$1.8kat 0.387Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$699.95at 0.090Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?
- +$619.17at 0.051Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?
- +$607.39at 0.210Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 08:16 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $318.30 |
| 08-15 06:14 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $143.43 |
| 08-15 06:14 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $349.79 |
| 08-12 19:25 | LoL: Dream Esports vs Capybara Esports (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage | SELL | 0.38 | $0.21 |
| 08-12 19:10 | LoL: Dream Esports vs Capybara Esports - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.359543 | $71.91 |
| 08-12 19:04 | LoL: Dream Esports vs Capybara Esports (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage | BUY | 0.5 | $55.00 |
| 08-12 13:23 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $143.40 |
| 08-12 10:54 | LoL: Dream Esports vs Capybara Esports (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage | SELL | 0.63 | $12.09 |
| 08-06 08:27 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $86.00 |
| 08-05 13:58 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | SELL | 0.25 | $38.50 |
| 08-04 12:58 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alex Martinez vs Amit Vales | SELL | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 08-04 12:58 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alex Martinez vs Amit Vales | SELL | 0.36 | $38.03 |
| 08-04 12:52 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alex Martinez vs Amit Vales | SELL | 0.36 | $37.45 |
| 08-04 12:51 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alex Martinez vs Amit Vales | SELL | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 08-03 12:47 | Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%? | BUY | 0.864 | $4.32 |