0xbe7d7f7bd98d4a029a9d79f1bfe26d97dabea3
0xa0aee04ad8337181f36c88b5490bb6224c3f4a1e
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $62.8k
- Markets traded
- 5,315
- Open portfolio
- $139.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded5,315
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$880.27at 0.049Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$91.04at 0.017Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
- +$88.90at 0.153Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
- +$62.73at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 19?
- +$60.12at 0.010Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 06:49 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 06:49 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 10-04 06:49 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 10-04 06:49 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 10-04 06:49 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.973 | $4.87 |
| 10-04 04:29 | Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 10-04 00:10 | Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.963 | $4.81 |
| 10-04 00:10 | Will Lula win between 35% and 38% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.993 | $4.96 |
| 10-04 00:10 | Will Lula win between 41% and 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.90 |
| 10-03 23:22 | Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 10-03 23:22 | Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 20:31 | Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 50% and 53% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 10-03 20:31 | Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 47% and 50% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 10-03 20:31 | Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win more than 56% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 20:31 | Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win less than 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |