Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.13. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.13 to 0.17. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.13	70	70
0.15	50	120
0.16	6	126
0.17	163	289
0.18	5,874	6,163
0.19	366	6,530
0.20	142	6,672
0.21	9	6,680
0.23	76	6,757
0.24	539	7,296
0.26	150	7,446
0.30	500	7,946

Spread0.01Mid0.13

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.12	259	259
0.11	858	1,117
0.10	722	1,838
0.09	1,345	3,183
0.08	200	3,383
0.07	143	3,526
0.06	173	3,699
0.05	310	4,009
0.04	338	4,347
0.03	333	4,680
0.02	19	4,699
0.01	15,129	19,828

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.88	259	259
0.89	858	1,117
0.90	722	1,838
0.91	1,345	3,183
0.92	200	3,383
0.93	143	3,526
0.94	173	3,699
0.95	310	4,009
0.96	338	4,347
0.97	333	4,680
0.98	19	4,699
0.99	15,129	19,828

Spread0.01Mid0.88

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.87	70	70
0.85	50	120
0.84	6	126
0.83	163	289
0.82	5,874	6,163
0.81	366	6,530
0.80	142	6,672
0.79	9	6,680
0.77	76	6,757
0.76	539	7,296
0.74	150	7,446
0.70	500	7,946

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0xB80E9b3466558b0b56295C462BF875898AE1B5B9-1777271115461	Yes	7,861.84
0x15D2A627b55C0742EaD6b7DEeC24FE88Ca31bC1A-1767274000139	Yes	4,947.65
GarthBroadmore	Yes	2,285.5
Gl4d	Yes	1,699.99
0x31545Cda63dD4d71cE065d921cbEada1B53B9A32-1778770286532	Yes	862.97
ChasingPaper	Yes	855.98
alternatefuture	Yes	712.53
PenguPrime	Yes	605.18
Paulibaer	Yes	580
ronniegrob	Yes	499.99
AuthenticDemigod	Yes	499.97
300PS	Yes	366.48
0x6401e512814aFB5C326d7eBF133D85F1BA013089-1767730062575	Yes	326.58
2026ismyyear	Yes	273.94
woodpecker01	Yes	265.79
top100cashout	Yes	259.66
elendersystemling	Yes	242.59
fphfph	Yes	217.39
0xf41CC0f0ef750CA3356fa61501f80D1a07080F47-1730824974816	Yes	216
mx12Art	Yes	204.42

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
07:46:03	SELL	No	0.87	0	$0.02
07:46:03	BUY	No	0.88	5	$4.40
06:48:23	SELL	No	0.87	7	$6.23
06:47:12	SELL	No	0.87	0	$0.02
06:47:11	BUY	No	0.88	5	$4.40
16:31:23	BUY	No	0.86	4	$3.47
12:17:36	BUY	No	0.86	5	$4.30
23:24:44	SELL	No	0.84	0	$0.08
23:24:42	BUY	No	0.86	24	$20.64
23:24:12	SELL	No	0.84	1	$0.81
23:24:12	BUY	No	0.8580563333	300	$257.42
23:11:57	BUY	No	0.85	200	$170.00
22:05:56	SELL	No	0.83	1	$1.15
22:05:44	SELL	No	0.82	1	$0.63
22:05:44	BUY	No	0.8584119376	233	$200.00
11:09:47	SELL	No	0.82	2	$1.86
20:46:50	BUY	Yes	0.1799999958	167	$30.00
20:46:15	BUY	Yes	0.1799999958	167	$30.00
20:45:42	BUY	Yes	0.1781093678	561	$100.00
16:14:29	BUY	Yes	0.151188918	1,495	$226.04
09:48:30	BUY	Yes	0.1499998875	7	$1.00
09:34:34	BUY	Yes	0.14	500	$70.00
23:47:01	SELL	No	0.86	1	$1.00
23:46:58	SELL	No	0.86	0	$0.03
23:46:58	SELL	Yes	0.12	8	$0.96

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before… · PolyBot