PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ronniegrob

0x549436e44ea706e3acffb03a95c55b06369485fe

Realised P&L
$-5.0k
Volume
$536.4k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0870.045$675.00$634.80
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1340.025$190.61$853.52
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? · Yes0.1350.150$102.60+$10.52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0990.038$80.85$126.48
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1070.011$80.19$663.24
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0950.015$46.16$256.25
Fed abolished before 2027? · Yes0.0740.017$23.66$82.70
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0560.009$23.51$131.40
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0480.015$4.61$10.81
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2750.002$0.09$16.54
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$57.82
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$40.88
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? · Yes0.2450.000$0.00$843.73
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET · Up0.1940.000$0.00$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET · Up0.1030.000$0.00$31.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 10:34Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?BUY0.12$22.08
07-28 12:45Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$90.00
07-28 12:44Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$90.00
07-28 09:34Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?BUY0.14$70.00
07-07 06:15Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.01$50.00
06-13 22:59Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.11$3.44
06-13 22:59Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.1$1.00
06-13 22:59Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.12$1.20
06-13 22:58Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.08$1.75
06-13 22:58Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.0591692955$1.13
06-11 08:41Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.21$68.10
06-09 05:03Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.26$47.96
06-09 05:02Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.25$5.00
06-09 05:02Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.25$41.13
06-08 01:24Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETBUY0.05$10.00