ronniegrob
0x549436e44ea706e3acffb03a95c55b06369485fe
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $539.4k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $625.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.00at 0.200Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
- +$76.00at 0.240Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
- +$29.67at 0.002Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$27.25at 0.162Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
- +$20.43at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 07:43 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.013 | $2.91 |
| 10-14 13:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.0139716954 | $9.87 |
| 09-21 12:04 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 09-08 10:34 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $22.08 |
| 07-28 12:45 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $90.00 |
| 07-28 12:44 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $90.00 |
| 07-28 09:34 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | BUY | 0.14 | $70.00 |
| 07-07 06:15 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.01 | $50.00 |
| 06-13 22:59 | Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.11 | $3.44 |
| 06-13 22:59 | Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 22:59 | Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 06-13 22:58 | Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.75 |
| 06-13 22:58 | Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.0591692955 | $1.13 |
| 06-11 08:41 | Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.21 | $68.10 |
| 06-09 05:03 | Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.26 | $47.96 |