0x31545Cda63dD4d71cE065d921cbEada1B53B9A32-1778770286532
0x31545cda63dd4d71ce065d921cbeada1b53b9a32
- Realised P&L
- $-6.31
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $125.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? · Yes | 0.212 | 0.145 | $125.13 | −$57.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.75at 0.744Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
- +$5.53at 0.821Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$-20.59at 0.008World Championships: Switzerland vs. Great Britain
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-05 18:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8099999955 | $25.00 |
| 06-04 15:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.7305092234 | $25.00 |
| 05-21 20:10 | World Championships: Switzerland vs. Great Britain | BUY | 0.007954263 | $20.00 |
| 05-14 15:08 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | BUY | 0.2119540656 | $182.91 |