PenguPrime
0xaff50100ad36b68e56cb1e1f0482b5c6e06c44cb
- Realised P&L
- $-288.83
- Volume
- $14.3k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $218.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$247.53at 0.414Will Luke Littler win the 2024-25 PDC World Championship?
- +$86.54at 0.130Will Biden pardon Fauci?
- +$84.80at 0.150Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?
- +$49.00at 0.250SpaceX 7th Starship upper stage successful splash down?
- +$30.29at 0.140ICC arrest warrant for Netanyahu before inauguration?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 11:05 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $13.02 |
| 09-15 22:30 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $2.16 |
| 09-11 22:29 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.68 |
| 05-06 12:01 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 05-05 12:01 | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY | 0.17 | $5.10 |
| 05-04 22:14 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.036 | $3.96 |
| 04-28 14:37 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | BUY | 0.1557973661 | $20.00 |
| 04-22 12:34 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | BUY | 0.1499999976 | $50.00 |
| 03-02 17:27 | Will Hillary say "Daughter" during her Epstein testimony? | BUY | 0.0489999773 | $2.00 |
| 03-02 17:27 | Will Hillary say "Island" during her Epstein testimony? | BUY | 0.0485148425 | $5.00 |
| 03-02 17:26 | Will Bill Clinton say "Plane" during his Epstein testimony? | BUY | 0.023999977 | $1.00 |
| 03-02 17:26 | Will Bill Clinton say "Hillary" during his Epstein testimony? | BUY | 0.0177108903 | $1.00 |
| 03-02 17:26 | Will Bill Clinton say "Secretary" during his Epstein testimony? | BUY | 0.0185675161 | $1.00 |
| 03-02 17:26 | Will Bill Clinton say "Daughter" during his Epstein testimony? | BUY | 0.0571428571 | $2.00 |
| 01-30 22:46 | US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $2.50 |