PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

2026ismyyear

0xc6e76de1246097f763f013995fb7792de9211f0d

Realised P&L
$170.73
Volume
$15.7k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$172.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)43.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1670.140$92.13$17.87
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? · Yes0.1820.145$39.72$10.28
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4170.512$18.44+$3.44
Will Markus Söder be the next Chancellor of Germany? · Yes0.1300.155$11.92+$1.92
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? · Yes0.1120.045$4.03$5.97
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1670.070$3.38$4.62
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0330.011$2.68$5.32
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? · No0.4000.000$0.00$30.00
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? · No0.4900.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 16:04Will Markus Söder be the next Chancellor of Germany?BUY0.1299999999$10.00
09-08 13:09Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.245$11.61
08-01 14:05Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.296$40.36
05-16 21:19Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.4987289048$13.89
05-16 21:18Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.033$2.35
05-16 21:17Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.016$0.69
05-16 21:17Will France win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.007$0.26
04-24 11:43Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?SELL0.005$0.11
04-12 16:25Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.88$38.25
04-12 16:24Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.008$2.46
04-12 16:24Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.011$5.50
04-12 16:23Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.091$13.38
04-12 05:28Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.2299999692$5.00
03-27 08:22US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?BUY0.25$40.00
03-27 08:22US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?BUY0.4$30.00