PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

top100cashout

0xc1e695f62d72eaa8a419ac2a2c4e8b6ae0a7cd30

Realised P&L
$-29.04
Volume
$1.0k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$59.86

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? · Yes0.2100.145$37.65$16.88
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.2400.410$22.21+$9.21
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1830.000$0.00$10.00
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$20.00
Will Karlsruher SC win on 2026-05-17? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$6.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0840.000$0.00$4.00
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$6.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0830.000$0.00$2.00
Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? · Yes0.2710.000$0.00$10.00
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.1940.000$0.00$10.00
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? · No0.3300.000$0.00$10.00
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 14:19Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.2399999889$13.00
09-06 13:36Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.1801724854$20.00
05-19 21:25Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?BUY0.0574257339$6.00
05-19 21:22Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?BUY0.3299999812$10.00
05-17 20:54Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0519999842$3.00
05-17 20:54Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0829999638$2.00
05-17 20:53Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0839999819$4.00
05-17 20:52Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1669999828$7.00
05-17 20:51Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1829999875$10.00
05-17 20:37Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?BUY0.2709999729$10.00
05-17 01:08Will Karlsruher SC win on 2026-05-17?BUY0.3699999661$6.00
05-17 01:02Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-05-17?BUY0.5199999974$16.00
05-16 11:13Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-16?BUY0.389999986$10.00
05-15 18:19Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.1938061787$10.00
05-13 14:41Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?BUY0.2299999893$15.00