PolyBot

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Traders

GarthBroadmore

0x8d971b3eebf8bcf7e748d9328dfec7b10a8afbd8

Realised P&L
$6.5k
Volume
$8.46M
Markets traded
1,001
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,001
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration96.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1130.195$632.74+$265.67
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? · Yes0.1500.155$388.66+$12.18
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.0970.061$196.31$114.57
Will RB Leipzig be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes0.0230.015$112.32$66.56
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? · Yes0.1010.069$57.60$26.99
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026? · Yes0.1220.086$48.47$20.56
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.6600.735$36.75+$3.75
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · No0.1350.145$29.00+$2.00
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? · Yes0.0170.019$21.89+$2.21
Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? · No0.0700.075$11.25+$0.75
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2400.270$10.80+$1.20
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0130.017$6.60+$1.20
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 · Yes0.0500.045$4.50$0.50
Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? · No0.0270.088$3.96+$2.75
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0150.015$3.10+$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 05:53Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.078$10.70
09-16 05:53Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026BUY0.05$2.50
09-14 09:55Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?BUY0.082$1.80
09-14 09:54Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?BUY0.082$1.64
09-14 09:54Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?BUY0.082$8.20
09-14 09:06Will RB Leipzig be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?BUY0.016$1.26
09-14 09:06Will RB Leipzig be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?BUY0.016$1.60
09-14 06:25Will RB Leipzig be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?BUY0.018$1.80
09-13 15:17Exact Score: SV 07 Elversberg 2 - 3 FC Bayern München?BUY0.044$1.43
09-13 13:59Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.06$3.60
09-13 11:04Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 3 Hamburger SV?BUY0.017$5.10
09-13 11:04Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 2 Hamburger SV?BUY0.06$6.00
09-13 08:35Exact Score: SV 07 Elversberg 3 - 2 FC Bayern München?BUY0.012$2.40
09-13 08:35Exact Score: SV 07 Elversberg 3 - 2 FC Bayern München?BUY0.012$2.40
09-13 08:34Exact Score: SV 07 Elversberg 2 - 2 FC Bayern München?BUY0.036$3.60