0x6401e512814aFB5C326d7eBF133D85F1BA013089-1767730062575
0x6401e512814afb5c326d7ebf133d85f1ba013089
- Realised P&L
- $6.20
- Volume
- $900.15
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $197.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.360 | 1.000 | $150.00 | +$96.00 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? · Yes | 0.168 | 0.145 | $47.35 | −$7.65 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-15.00at 0.280U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-30 16:16 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February? | BUY | 0.25 | $32.50 |
| 01-30 13:24 | US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $30.00 |
| 01-14 22:44 | U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | BUY | 0.2799999895 | $15.00 |
| 01-12 19:09 | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.80 |
| 01-09 13:17 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | BUY | 0.1684125986 | $55.00 |
| 01-09 13:14 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.36 | $54.00 |