0xf41CC0f0ef750CA3356fa61501f80D1a07080F47-1730824974816
0xf41cc0f0ef750ca3356fa61501f80d1a07080f47
- Realised P&L
- $-418.00
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $31.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.145 | $31.32 | −$20.52 |
| Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.01 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.00 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$69.99 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-04 15:17 | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.08 | $48.00 |
| 10-29 10:44 | No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.014 | $69.99 |
| 09-22 15:53 | Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup? | BUY | 0.5799999991 | $250.00 |