fphfph
0xa6f143322895fb3b33be17753e1be6a3aa4f2994
- Realised P&L
- $-67.22
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $235.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? · Yes | 0.179 | 0.170 | $156.63 | −$8.36 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.165 | $51.56 | +$1.56 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.125 | $27.17 | −$22.83 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.20 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 15:30 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY | 0.1722877073 | $25.00 |
| 07-27 15:22 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY | 0.1660127055 | $100.00 |
| 06-16 21:46 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.20 |
| 06-11 15:18 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999954 | $41.00 |
| 06-07 16:22 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY | 0.2299999962 | $40.00 |
| 06-07 16:22 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | BUY | 0.2299999968 | $50.00 |
| 06-07 16:20 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $50.00 |