PolyBot

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Will Baidu be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-01
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.009. up 0.006 over the period, from 0.003. Range 0.002 to 0.009. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.012161161
0.026100261
0.02719280
0.059595875
0.16710885
0.1688893
0.2181251,018
0.219201,038
0.220501,088
0.222101,098
0.2301001,198
0.3681001,298

Spread0.007Mid0.009

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0052828
0.002198226
0.001248474

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9952828
0.998198226
0.999248474

Spread0.007Mid0.992

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.988161161
0.974100261
0.97319280
0.941595875
0.83310885
0.8328893
0.7821251,018
0.781201,038
0.780501,088
0.778101,098
0.7701001,198
0.6321001,298

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
caspar1248Yes900
DonintelloYes595.13
x1099Yes312.41
Z91EXYes171.58
0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256Yes150
LornaPredictsYes133.6
TENETENETYes100
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Yes99.99
AJSVYes60.67
0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13Yes51.35
HerrieDavisYes50.67
0x3e3cFf5E598b86A176416C9eC914E871B1E7e1D6-1786140877974Yes50
0xF03D13c94373E052a177601419291Ce2FAfE21Fb-1769526558724Yes44.9
KastellvalenYes40.2
GingerMcKennaYes33.82
yallmateYes30
0xca75…0a64Yes20.97
a5533Yes20
Mojito9Yes19.93
triklozoidYes15

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
08:21:06BUYYes0.0040015153172$0.69
03:29:55SELLYes0.00111$0.01
03:28:06SELLYes0.0010$0.00
19:16:27BUYNo0.99910$10.11
19:16:27BUYNo0.99910$10.22
19:16:27BUYNo0.99913$12.79
19:16:27BUYNo0.99910$9.99
05:51:04BUYNo0.9992$1.95
05:42:21BUYNo0.9992$1.55
05:42:21BUYNo0.99945$44.95
05:42:21BUYNo0.9996$6.43
05:42:21BUYNo0.99917$16.98
05:15:42BUYNo0.9992$2.37
05:15:42BUYNo0.99918$17.98
05:14:27BUYNo0.9996$5.61
10:00:34BUYNo0.99974$74.05
00:38:01BUYNo0.9996$5.85
22:43:10BUYNo0.99910$9.99
20:58:24BUYNo0.9995$5.00
14:24:43BUYNo0.9998$7.99
14:24:43BUYNo0.99985$84.92
04:51:04BUYNo0.9995$5.00
15:38:31BUYNo0.9998$8.00
13:36:55BUYNo0.9999$9.00
08:54:01BUYNo0.99940$39.96