PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.34. up 0.03 over the period, from 0.30. Range 0.22 to 0.34. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.421919
0.433049
0.90554
0.912074
0.942094
0.9520114
0.9654168
0.9761229
0.9850279
0.9911290

Spread0.17Mid0.33

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.25108108
0.22250358
0.1910368
0.1655423
0.1510433
0.10308741
0.095746
0.0840786
0.055251,311
0.04401,351
0.031,0272,379
0.021,0503,429

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.75108108
0.78250358
0.8110368
0.8455423
0.8510433
0.90308741
0.915746
0.9240786
0.955251,311
0.96401,351
0.971,0272,379
0.981,0503,429

Spread0.17Mid0.67

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.581919
0.573049
0.10554
0.092074
0.062094
0.0520114
0.0454168
0.0361229
0.0250279
0.0111290

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
PeterErikssonYes777.62
DatosNoRelatosYes332.97
SlayerHYes200
0x2E1C6E971cff5c3259090d3dEa7802A15e4eDB61-1779115991589Yes200
0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13Yes179.11
0xa742…9856Yes105
SuperTestsYes104
FihdrzgddYes100
0xf22b…7eabYes98.98
pootytherewardfarmerYes88.97
Wolf-RiderYes80
braindanceYes40
tradetosurvive1Yes30.05
zwaaaYes30
AJSVYes29.98
SmartBoyBillyYes20.1
winexecutescaleYes16.09
crossFiterYes8.69
GuyFromTinderYes1.29
xixihaha009Yes1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
05:27:00BUYNo0.778$5.93
16:35:27SELLYes0.231$0.23
00:03:46BUYNo0.686$4.08
17:38:12BUYYes0.299999994819$5.81
04:16:46BUYYes0.3730$11.10
04:16:36BUYYes0.3525$8.75
04:16:25BUYYes0.3450$17.00
01:33:13BUYNo0.6830$20.40
21:27:06SELLYes0.2765298246114$31.52
17:54:22BUYYes0.2425$6.00
03:51:52BUYYes0.235267316376$17.87
03:50:51BUYYes0.23103$23.73
01:03:15BUYYes0.2261$13.42
01:02:24BUYYes0.2238$8.36
00:27:27SELLYes0.2139$8.19
00:27:16SELLYes0.231$0.23
00:18:01SELLYes0.239$2.07
23:37:36SELLYes0.282540$11.30
23:29:34SELLYes0.35$1.59
23:27:06SELLYes0.3415$124.43
23:27:06BUYNo0.735$24.29
21:45:21SELLYes0.350$15.00
19:45:24BUYNo0.75$3.50
11:16:55BUYYes0.3140$12.40
09:01:15SELLYes0.345$13.50