Wolf-Rider
0x908c5fcefe78a86fa7913e163681e1a1b0bff68b
- Realised P&L
- $9.74
- Volume
- $8.8k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $319.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.73at 0.730Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?
- +$14.78at 0.010Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?
- +$12.40at 0.992US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$10.88at 0.501Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?
- +$7.47at 0.992US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 21:38 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | SELL | 0.0811157547 | $14.75 |
| 09-20 21:24 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $29.20 |
| 08-27 09:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on August 27? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.23 |
| 08-27 09:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on August 27? | SELL | 0.536 | $5.90 |
| 08-26 21:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on August 27? | BUY | 0.146 | $1.61 |
| 08-26 21:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on August 27? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.97 |
| 08-20 10:02 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.992 | $302.56 |
| 08-18 19:24 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.328 | $32.80 |
| 08-17 11:29 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.828 | $14.90 |
| 08-11 06:29 | Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 08-11 06:28 | Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 08-08 16:35 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | SELL | 0.4607142857 | $32.25 |
| 08-06 21:26 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | SELL | 0.89 | $1.74 |
| 08-02 20:37 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.12 |
| 07-31 13:10 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | SELL | 0.57 | $1.46 |