0xf22b92600b8736a7c1552f6de5808eee72647eab
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $683.5k
- Markets traded
- 798
- Open portfolio
- $7.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded798
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$436.23at 0.655Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$313.16at 0.564EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$260.50at 0.150Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$215.15at 0.100Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?
- +$182.48at 0.014Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 09:17 | Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | BUY | 0.85 | $42.49 |
| 08-03 09:15 | Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | BUY | 0.85 | $33.99 |
| 08-03 07:29 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.764877454 | $62.73 |
| 08-03 07:28 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.76 | $69.21 |
| 08-03 07:27 | Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.905 | $36.19 |
| 08-03 05:21 | Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $8.99 |
| 08-03 02:27 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.854 | $5.98 |
| 08-03 00:35 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.37 | $18.13 |
| 08-03 00:35 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.24 |
| 08-02 22:37 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $12.74 |
| 08-02 22:37 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 08-02 22:20 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 08-02 22:20 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 08-02 22:20 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 08-02 22:12 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $19.23 |