PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf22b92600b8736a7c1552f6de5808eee72647eab

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$790.0k
Markets traded
938
Open portfolio
$8.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded938
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No0.3920.525$637.53+$160.91
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · No0.8300.805$570.67$17.72
Neutrl FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.6300.815$490.03+$111.39
Valantis FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.7850.820$425.42+$17.95
QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.5460.400$418.93$152.81
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.8100.866$406.84+$25.96
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? · No0.6230.735$377.28+$57.60
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $4B? · No0.8440.825$287.47$6.59
Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.7290.815$259.92+$27.45
Will Washington Commanders win the 2026 NFC East? · No0.8500.925$227.52+$18.43
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · No0.2380.255$201.73+$13.75
Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch? · Yes0.6400.595$198.35$15.03
Noble FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.6230.865$189.24+$52.90
Will Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · No0.9000.895$178.98$1.00
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B? · No0.7210.805$178.48+$18.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 15:21Will Bloomberg IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0497130609$1.74
09-17 14:22Valantis FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.28$2.91
09-17 14:20Valantis FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.28$3.10
09-17 14:20Valantis FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.28$4.96
09-17 14:20Will Belgium win the UEFA EURO 2028?SELL0.035$3.43
09-17 14:20Valantis FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.28$3.98
09-17 14:20Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY0.25$25.00
09-17 14:02Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?BUY0.63$15.74
09-17 13:57Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.77$38.91
09-17 12:29Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?BUY0.64$15.99
09-17 12:27Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?BUY0.64$16.63
09-17 12:23Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?BUY0.64$15.99
09-17 12:17Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?BUY0.64$15.99
09-17 12:17MagicBlock FDV above $60M one day after launch?SELL0.7740257353$33.69
09-17 12:15Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?BUY0.4$15.60