PolyBot

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Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.030. down 0.025 over the period, from 0.055. Range 0.025 to 0.059. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0472929
0.0484069
0.059200269
0.080200469
0.6251,0001,469
0.6301131,582
0.6315002,082
0.6323672,449
0.734502,499
0.739402,539
0.750502,589
0.799302,619

Spread0.033Mid0.030

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.01466
0.0134046
0.012551
0.0112272
0.010100172
0.00816189
0.007324513
0.00615527
0.005211738
0.0043331,071
0.003321,103
0.0024931,596

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.98666
0.9874046
0.988551
0.9892272
0.990100172
0.99216189
0.993324513
0.99415527
0.995211738
0.9963331,071
0.997321,103
0.9984931,596

Spread0.033Mid0.970

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9532929
0.9524069
0.941200269
0.920200469
0.3751,0001,469
0.3701131,582
0.3695002,082
0.3683672,449
0.266502,499
0.261402,539
0.250502,589
0.201302,619

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
thecaricatureYes250.01
LornaPredictsYes182.39
0x8339…fd49Yes179.79
pootytherewardfarmerYes93.36
AJSVYes72.92
ThanevorYes50
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes40
tradetosurvive1Yes36.21
PPMTYes29.48
SlackjawYes20
Numitus1994Yes19.99
TerranSupremacyYes11.7
the-hedgehog-2Yes10
0x4ef1…44f3Yes5.61
69dsfsYes2.85
planktonXDYes2.5
crossFiterYes2.03
a5533Yes1.47
0xca75…0a64Yes1.44
Mithrandir.No298.38

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
15:06:03SELLNo0.9769$8.33
19:42:54BUYNo0.98699999562$2.00
15:55:06BUYNo0.98540$39.40
20:17:31SELLYes0.01720$0.34
20:17:30BUYNo0.964999999449$46.87
14:15:13BUYNo0.955999999738$36.17
15:25:15SELLYes0.0322$0.05
14:51:19BUYYes0.064787210516$1.05
14:48:33BUYYes0.0466434876164$7.63
05:16:33SELLYes0.0211$0.02
00:56:09SELLNo0.9552$1.81
00:56:09SELLNo0.95530$28.65
08:18:00SELLYes0.0212$0.03
04:02:03SELLYes0.0260$1.21
04:01:48SELLYes0.0460$2.41
04:01:46BUYNo0.9680$77.12
13:42:45SELLYes0.0520$1.00
07:41:43SELLYes0.0520$0.98
07:41:13SELLYes0.0620$1.18
06:46:07SELLYes0.0650$3.00
21:54:51SELLYes0.0610$0.58
21:53:09BUYNo0.93100$93.00
21:39:10BUYNo0.929999982139$35.84
21:39:10BUYNo0.92999983192$1.77
21:39:09BUYNo0.929999988436$33.65