PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8339d5633a375ac8c840c46a21b6d77de49bfd49

Realised P&L
$-13.7k
Volume
$757.6k
Markets traded
5,555
Open portfolio
$215.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,555
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ethereum Up or Down on September 18? · Down0.5140.810$151.03+$55.17
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? · No0.5600.585$20.27+$0.87
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20? · No0.5600.555$9.61$0.09
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes0.4500.445$9.53$0.11
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.4500.415$8.89$0.75
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0480.033$5.84$2.84
Will Gangwon FC win K-League? · No0.9800.680$5.59$2.46
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0250.018$1.40$0.58
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.5300.675$1.35+$0.29
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? · Up0.5000.315$1.20$0.71
Ukraine coup attempt by December 31? · Yes0.0900.065$0.78$0.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:17Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.3499999495$2.08
09-17 17:43Ethereum Up or Down on September 18?BUY0.5141006586$95.86
09-17 16:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.7599999944$21.62
09-17 16:19Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18?BUY0.5$1.91
09-17 16:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.5499999738$1.05
09-17 16:09Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.4199999112$1.04
09-17 16:09Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12PM ETBUY0.4199999112$1.04
09-17 16:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12PM ETBUY0.4899998974$1.91
09-17 15:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.469999906$1.05
09-17 15:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETBUY0.7799999945$19.97
09-17 15:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11AM ETBUY0.3799999397$1.89
09-17 14:33Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.4199999112$1.04
09-17 14:32Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 10AM ETBUY0.8699998313$1.96
09-17 14:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETBUY0.2599999647$1.03
09-17 14:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10AM ETBUY0.5399998457$1.05