PolyBot

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Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.037. up 0.002 over the period, from 0.035. Range 0.035 to 0.063. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0402424
0.0415074
0.04750124
0.04850174
0.04950224
0.0502,5062,730
0.0513,0845,814
0.0531215,935
0.0575466,481
0.0594336,914
0.0601,7138,627
0.0696209,246

Spread0.006Mid0.037

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.034255255
0.031239493
0.0305351,028
0.0291,6022,630
0.0284723,103
0.0272203,323
0.0265003,823
0.0248404,663
0.0211,5856,248
0.0202,0808,328
0.0195008,828
0.0175469,374

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.966255255
0.969239493
0.9705351,028
0.9711,6022,630
0.9724723,103
0.9732203,323
0.9745003,823
0.9768404,663
0.9791,5856,248
0.9802,0808,328
0.9815008,828
0.9835469,374

Spread0.006Mid0.963

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9602424
0.9595074
0.95350124
0.95250174
0.95150224
0.9502,5062,730
0.9493,0845,814
0.9471215,935
0.9435466,481
0.9414336,914
0.9401,7138,627
0.9316209,246

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
paula0xaYes7,074.32
m3t64 - 815Yes6,696.91
srmiiieYes4,580.59
Bull92Yes3,078.37
grothYes2,727.71
randomgamblaYes2,549.98
cripes3Yes1,976.95
KalungaHDYes1,229.06
InvestnowYes1,220.64
0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876Yes999.99
tiger12Yes977.78
balthazarYes760.7
the-contrarianYes698.24
0x26bb…03cfYes528.13
SpyVsSpyYes500
karachikingYes400
MiladyMiladyYes250
PineseekerYes227.73
LornaPredictsYes226.27
breeze55Yes222.22

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:57:10SELLNo0.956$5.49
19:56:45SELLYes0.03670$2.52
19:56:45SELLYes0.036100$3.60
19:56:43BUYNo0.9646$5.57
19:56:43SELLYes0.0366$0.21
19:56:40BUYNo0.9627100$96.27
19:56:39BUYNo0.958717497823$789.02
19:56:39BUYNo0.962101403557$54.84
15:31:36SELLNo0.9481$0.62
15:25:51SELLNo0.947923040542$40.03
13:37:21SELLNo0.95450$47.70
13:37:16SELLNo0.95464100$95.46
13:37:13SELLNo0.95565$62.07
13:37:10SELLNo0.955100$95.50
13:37:06SELLNo0.95550$47.75
13:30:13SELLNo0.95550$47.75
13:28:06SELLNo0.9549333333150$143.24
13:28:00SELLNo0.95672110491,964$1879.00
13:28:00BUYYes0.044999999867$3.00
14:39:36SELLNo0.95938$36.20
20:27:49SELLYes0.0459$2.38
20:12:10BUYNo0.9614$13.28
22:26:15SELLYes0.0450$2.00
21:38:33BUYNo0.95937$35.08
19:32:12SELLYes0.0411394300$12.34