PolyBot

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Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-05
Rewards
50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.045. down 0.027 over the period, from 0.072. Range 0.034 to 0.076. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0553030
0.0561,2411,271
0.0572,0583,328
0.0601,0504,378
0.0611,2125,590
0.0622,7268,317
0.0643,12911,446
0.06585612,301
0.0661,73414,035
0.0695014,085
0.0752,21616,301
0.07620716,508

Spread0.019Mid0.045

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0364040
0.0355090
0.03319109
0.032450559
0.0315631,122
0.0309032,025
0.0293,5005,525
0.0284335,958
0.0274406,398
0.0252,1628,560
0.0247519,310
0.0231,50010,810

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9644040
0.9655090
0.96719109
0.968450559
0.9695631,122
0.9709032,025
0.9713,5005,525
0.9724335,958
0.9734406,398
0.9752,1628,560
0.9767519,310
0.9771,50010,810

Spread0.019Mid0.954

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9453030
0.9441,2411,271
0.9432,0583,328
0.9401,0504,378
0.9391,2125,590
0.9382,7268,317
0.9363,12911,446
0.93585612,301
0.9341,73414,035
0.9315014,085
0.9252,21616,301
0.92420716,508

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
paula0xaYes7,211.24
m3t64 - 815Yes6,696.91
srmiiieYes4,580.59
Warren-BuffettYes3,647.56
commeowderYes3,172
Bull92Yes3,078.37
grothYes2,727.71
randomgamblaYes2,549.98
bdb5264 - 37039Yes1,982.73
cripes3Yes1,976.95
InvestnowYes1,220.64
balthazarYes1,100.33
tiger12Yes977.78
fledgerYes772.25
the-contrarianYes698.24
SpyVsSpyYes500
smellyEllieYes400
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes379.82
RooglishYes290.01
MiladyMiladyYes250

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
02:09:19BUYYes0.0370646283,172$117.57
00:28:42BUYYes0.03733$1.22
13:52:09BUYNo0.96885200$193.77
10:16:18BUYYes0.038999999545$1.77
10:02:48BUYYes0.05450$2.70
09:52:00BUYYes0.05650$2.80
09:52:00BUYYes0.0517965303772$40.00
09:51:58BUYYes0.0562623635125$7.01
03:37:10SELLNo0.949650$47.48
03:31:43SELLNo0.9526748529136$129.56
15:17:07BUYYes0.04151$2.08
11:37:25BUYYes0.045999998822$1.00
22:49:41SELLYes0.0350$1.50
18:47:11SELLNo0.95327$26.20
18:46:11BUYYes0.0424063115236$10.00
11:20:52SELLNo0.95824$23.02
09:52:47SELLYes0.0340$1.20
23:29:38SELLYes0.0350$1.50
16:46:45BUYYes0.03859$2.24
16:36:45BUYYes0.03759$2.18
01:38:42SELLYes0.0311$0.33
17:06:51SELLYes0.0311384393235$7.33
16:41:15SELLNo0.9582727273110$105.41
16:37:02SELLYes0.0315524913533$16.81
16:36:47SELLYes0.042220$9.24