randomgambla
0xec2c2bd1cdd868112d2ae640bbc10eed55d34676
- Realised P&L
- $-309.49
- Volume
- $21.2k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $963.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$342.00at 0.430Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$162.49at 0.350US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
- +$25.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
- +$6.00at 0.440US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
- +$2.40at 0.230Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 17:42 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.187 | $467.50 |
| 06-15 15:09 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0676709 | $27.07 |
| 05-28 11:26 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $36.00 |
| 05-28 11:24 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $61.44 |
| 05-28 11:23 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $72.00 |
| 05-23 10:53 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.035 | $17.50 |
| 05-23 10:49 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $44.00 |
| 05-23 10:48 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $45.00 |
| 05-23 10:46 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0716218487 | $8.52 |
| 05-22 06:11 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $71.50 |
| 05-22 06:10 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $74.10 |
| 05-21 03:03 | Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | SELL | 0.31 | $9.30 |
| 05-21 03:01 | Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | SELL | 0.66 | $33.00 |
| 05-21 02:40 | SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30? | SELL | 0.88 | $6.28 |
| 05-21 02:33 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.042 | $1.51 |