PolyBot

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Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.018. up 0.008 over the period, from 0.009. Range 0.007 to 0.021. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0281010
0.0296070
0.030102172
0.036100272
0.042214486
0.043200686
0.04757744
0.0503001,044
0.18251,049
0.8052001,249
0.8061331,382
0.807231,404

Spread0.020Mid0.018

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.008125125
0.007385510
0.0067381,248
0.00381,256
0.0022,8804,136
0.00115,57719,713

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.992125125
0.993385510
0.9947381,248
0.99781,256
0.9982,8804,136
0.99915,57719,713

Spread0.020Mid0.982

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9721010
0.9716070
0.970102172
0.964100272
0.958214486
0.957200686
0.95357744
0.9503001,044
0.81851,049
0.1952001,249
0.1941331,382
0.193231,404

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
TruongMyLanYes5,000
LearningPizzaYes2,961.96
balthazarYes2,345.88
387411007415611814092217897387Yes1,937.67
LornaPredictsYes1,191.99
rhinogiraffeYes1,183.32
FrankG4728Yes790.64
thecaricatureYes491.67
MiaoAlphaYes364
2kparabellumYes300
the-contrarianYes297.17
productsYes236
0xb2e42D29690B7B63335a03C0Fd5E64Df0681B7f1-1778811987251Yes235
Hugin-og-MuninYes212.04
0x9DD1166E70def7e51b5871ca668D3f160CfAF50c-1723680507509Yes200
MorrasYes199.99
Elias.ThornwellYes139.42
zwpYes129.99
neutralwave23Yes126.67
BSS37Yes102.32

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
01:05:45BUYNo0.9914525$4.96
01:05:45BUYNo0.99140$39.64
22:48:34SELLYes0.0154$0.54
22:46:33SELLYes0.01377$1.00
22:44:07SELLYes0.01430$0.42
13:04:38SELLYes0.00710$0.07
14:41:34SELLYes0.0072$0.02
14:40:06SELLYes0.0072$0.01
17:32:37SELLNo0.983143188990$88.92
08:41:28BUYYes0.0143290985800$11.46
08:41:28BUYYes0.0175949409400$7.03
08:41:28BUYYes0.017999999999$1.79
10:55:43BUYYes0.01377$1.00
10:51:03BUYYes0.0123669449162$2.00
14:24:49BUYNo0.99430$29.82
10:07:45BUYNo0.99310$9.93
14:59:04SELLYes0.00628$0.17
05:59:18SELLNo0.9915$4.98
17:55:04SELLYes0.00611$0.07
17:55:03BUYNo0.99450$49.70
17:55:03BUYNo0.99441$40.56
17:55:01BUYNo0.99412$11.73
17:55:00BUYNo0.99411$11.13
17:55:00BUYNo0.99420$19.88
17:55:00BUYNo0.99419$18.81