MiaoAlpha
0x5231bce44b83d75d238468c0284eb3b06d40ca59
- Realised P&L
- $183.20
- Volume
- $28.4k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $5.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$174.25at 0.242Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?
- +$104.67at 0.477Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?
- +$94.13at 0.249Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?
- +$91.68at 0.620US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$82.79at 0.592Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 01:45 | Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $49.37 |
| 11-01 00:51 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4540208258 | $88.08 |
| 11-01 00:50 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $35.88 |
| 11-01 00:42 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October? | BUY | 0.7946554149 | $28.25 |
| 11-01 00:42 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in October? | BUY | 0.884 | $48.57 |
| 11-01 00:42 | Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m? | BUY | 0.1366953576 | $24.41 |
| 11-01 00:41 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.927 | $49.84 |
| 11-01 00:41 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m? | BUY | 0.092080512 | $28.78 |
| 10-31 06:19 | Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 06:19 | Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31? | BUY | 0.8615150436 | $48.39 |
| 10-31 05:56 | Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? | BUY | 0.65 | $49.24 |
| 10-30 15:38 | Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $49.31 |
| 10-29 15:34 | Israel Election: Arab party disqualified? | BUY | 0.915 | $49.19 |
| 10-14 02:11 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.42 | $118.44 |
| 10-12 14:17 | Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $118.58 |