PolyBot

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Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.004. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.005. Range 0.004 to 0.015. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0055050
0.014555
0.01565120
0.02315135
0.024164299
0.0251,3891,689
0.080101,699
0.081501,749
0.092801,829
0.093451,874
0.0942002,074
0.095552,129

Spread0.001Mid0.005

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0049595
0.003297392
0.0023,8164,209
0.00142,72446,933

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9969595
0.997297392
0.9983,8164,209
0.99942,72446,933

Spread0.001Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9955050
0.986555
0.98565120
0.97715135
0.976164299
0.9751,3891,689
0.920101,699
0.919501,749
0.908801,829
0.907451,874
0.9062002,074
0.905552,129

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
TruongMyLanYes4,900
0x7D8D908F55C3F95cefd9703E9a164A82D08f0cAc-1774758770711Yes1,592.33
thecaricatureYes1,389.38
EmaMTYes1,201.36
the-contrarianYes1,199.97
fdgYes1,007.34
FrankG4728Yes712.02
LornaPredictsYes710.14
suoha518Yes648.05
balthazarYes629.29
0x75772c0fad8BB3EeFb12bAe32EeF8a58e7EE8fB9-1771157190403Yes459.1
DancewithRiskYes374
MiaoAlphaYes364
BrianmYes300
387411007415611814092217897387Yes290.12
zhou666Yes270
alternativelogYes237
MorrasYes236.1
0xb2e42D29690B7B63335a03C0Fd5E64Df0681B7f1-1778811987251Yes235
Hugin-og-MuninYes186

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:08:45SELLYes0.0045$0.02
03:27:57SELLYes0.00915$0.14
22:44:37BUYYes0.018110$1.98
22:43:22BUYYes0.017108$1.84
21:55:36SELLYes0.00936$0.32
17:06:46BUYYes0.013130$1.69
08:59:34BUYYes0.006130$0.78
08:41:28SELLYes0.005100$0.50
22:30:06SELLYes0.0042$0.01
22:26:34SELLYes0.0042$0.01
14:24:49BUYNo0.99730$29.91
10:07:43BUYNo0.99610$9.96
06:22:07SELLYes0.0037316262150$0.56
19:26:39BUYYes0.0076566833532$4.07
17:02:00SELLYes0.003160$0.48
11:38:25SELLYes0.0035$0.02
17:55:04SELLYes0.00211$0.02
17:55:03BUYNo0.99812$11.78
17:55:03BUYNo0.99841$40.72
17:55:01BUYNo0.99850$49.90
17:55:00BUYNo0.99811$11.18
17:55:00BUYNo0.9974$3.65
17:55:00BUYNo0.99720$19.94
17:55:00BUYNo0.99827$26.75
17:45:57BUYNo0.99710$9.97