PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

EmaMT

0x8d3bc28a69e1787d8a2f457323ee4617204eb567

Realised P&L
$-594.94
Volume
$17.3k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$356.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.0830.086$103.80+$3.80
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.4510.450$99.78$0.22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0780.040$80.07$77.92
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1200.135$56.25+$6.25
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0150.013$16.84$3.16
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? · No0.3770.000$0.00$119.27
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$81.92
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? · No0.6760.000$0.00$67.59
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$26.00
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? · No0.5350.000$0.00$201.50
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.5400.000$0.00$107.00
Will Solana dip to $80 in May? · No0.5190.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-10 07:54Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1199999981$50.00
07-10 07:54Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0154393434$20.00
07-10 07:52Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0410000001$30.53
07-10 07:52Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.041$19.47
05-27 07:56Will Solana dip to $80 in May?SELL0.3137863283$30.66
05-23 15:55Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?BUY0.0832388199$100.00
05-23 15:53Will Solana dip to $80 in May?BUY0.5191693257$50.00
05-23 15:52Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.4510051518$100.00
05-23 15:48Will Solana dip to $80 in May?BUY0.5116226863$50.00
05-23 15:40Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?SELL0.978$196.00
02-28 20:18Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?SELL0.9726284$97.26
01-08 01:09Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?BUY0.49$19.27
01-08 01:00Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY0.65$65.00
01-08 00:59Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY0.37$29.60
01-08 00:57Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY0.36$3.60