EmaMT
0x8d3bc28a69e1787d8a2f457323ee4617204eb567
- Realised P&L
- $-594.94
- Volume
- $17.3k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $356.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$112.70at 0.437Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$111.43at 0.359Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$59.05at 0.503Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
- +$16.76at 0.894Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
- +$4.95at 0.828Venezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 07:54 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1199999981 | $50.00 |
| 07-10 07:54 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0154393434 | $20.00 |
| 07-10 07:52 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0410000001 | $30.53 |
| 07-10 07:52 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.041 | $19.47 |
| 05-27 07:56 | Will Solana dip to $80 in May? | SELL | 0.3137863283 | $30.66 |
| 05-23 15:55 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.0832388199 | $100.00 |
| 05-23 15:53 | Will Solana dip to $80 in May? | BUY | 0.5191693257 | $50.00 |
| 05-23 15:52 | Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.4510051518 | $100.00 |
| 05-23 15:48 | Will Solana dip to $80 in May? | BUY | 0.5116226863 | $50.00 |
| 05-23 15:40 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.978 | $196.00 |
| 02-28 20:18 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.9726284 | $97.26 |
| 01-08 01:09 | Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? | BUY | 0.49 | $19.27 |
| 01-08 01:00 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.65 | $65.00 |
| 01-08 00:59 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.37 | $29.60 |
| 01-08 00:57 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |