vitordeng358
0xbd7e3f7566ba98d81564b96b09dbb8f57958875d
- Realised P&L
- $-145.96
- Volume
- $329.8k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $296.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.98at 0.110Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 6?
- +$56.00at 0.120Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 4?
- +$21.94at 0.011Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?
- +$18.82at 0.003Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
- +$10.50at 0.100Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 10:33 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $4.19 |
| 07-30 11:22 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.83 |
| 07-29 17:45 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $6.43 |
| 07-29 16:37 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 07-25 10:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 25? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-10 10:26 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31? | BUY | 0.139 | $0.70 |
| 07-02 14:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 10:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July? | BUY | 0.011 | $16.50 |
| 07-02 10:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July? | BUY | 0.011 | $14.85 |
| 07-01 13:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 09:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 2? | BUY | 0.11 | $18.15 |
| 06-29 15:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 1? | BUY | 0.017 | $3.38 |
| 06-29 14:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 1? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.68 |
| 06-24 14:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 26? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.85 |
| 06-22 13:31 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $8.01 |