PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

vitordeng358

0xbd7e3f7566ba98d81564b96b09dbb8f57958875d

Realised P&L
$-145.96
Volume
$329.8k
Markets traded
64
Open portfolio
$296.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded64
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0040.004$122.67$27.16
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · Yes0.0150.025$50.80+$20.80
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.006$32.50$2.50
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0030.003$30.00+$0.00
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.0010.002$21.64+$7.21
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0030.004$21.01+$5.54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4? · Yes0.0080.018$17.50+$9.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 25? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$2.00
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31? · No0.0010.000$0.00$19.05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 24? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$6.40
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$10.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$14.85
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on July 29? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 27? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 18? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 10:33Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.004$4.19
07-30 11:22Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.001$4.83
07-29 17:45Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.001$6.43
07-29 16:37Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.001$3.00
07-25 10:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 25?BUY0.001$0.01
07-10 10:26Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?BUY0.139$0.70
07-02 14:13Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$5.00
07-02 10:58Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?BUY0.011$16.50
07-02 10:57Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July?BUY0.011$14.85
07-01 13:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 1?BUY0.001$1.00
06-30 09:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 2?BUY0.11$18.15
06-29 15:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 1?BUY0.017$3.38
06-29 14:25Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 1?BUY0.017$0.68
06-24 14:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 26?BUY0.001$5.85
06-22 13:31Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.006$8.01