Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.86. up 0.08 over the period, from 0.78. Range 0.64 to 0.91. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.88	1,168	1,168
0.89	1,505	2,673
0.90	755	3,428
0.91	176	3,604
0.92	39	3,643
0.93	90	3,733
0.94	338	4,071
0.95	51	4,122
0.96	338	4,460
0.97	422	4,882
0.98	903	5,785
0.99	2,413	8,198

Spread0.03Mid0.86

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.85	606	606
0.84	487	1,093
0.83	20	1,113
0.82	70	1,183
0.65	20	1,203
0.59	6	1,209
0.30	20	1,229
0.27	837	2,066
0.20	650	2,716
0.02	20	2,736

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.15	606	606
0.16	487	1,093
0.17	20	1,113
0.18	70	1,183
0.35	20	1,203
0.41	6	1,209
0.70	20	1,229
0.73	837	2,066
0.80	650	2,716
0.98	20	2,736

Spread0.03Mid0.14

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.12	1,168	1,168
0.11	1,505	2,673
0.10	755	3,428
0.09	176	3,604
0.08	39	3,643
0.07	90	3,733
0.06	338	4,071
0.05	51	4,122
0.04	338	4,460
0.03	422	4,882
0.02	903	5,785
0.01	2,413	8,198

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
InterestingUser	Yes	832.95
rewardbots	Yes	161.1
0x37525cB351f53968Cb1177C1059C09bC25E69d56-1761723227494	Yes	137.59
X-Rabbit.Sezu	Yes	134.16
qianyi2026	Yes	130.89
LornaPredicts	Yes	126.86
molodoyy	Yes	67.41
NEGATIVEPNLISLAW	Yes	55.17
0xfec464f25Ce66AaEb9Bd4Ecb94b7184520bCCFc8-1741783184737	Yes	20
FlightRadar	Yes	18.32
tywwetherididi	Yes	13
Lucerys	Yes	10.8
0x4f9f…7f43	Yes	9.46
dgfd76	Yes	6.62
Hugin-og-Munin	Yes	5
LesterDiamond	Yes	3.93
0xa5ef…2966	No	815.1
GuyFromTinder	No	252.95
tradetosurvive1	No	236.4
0xca75…0a64	No	70.5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:57:09	BUY	No	0.1	10	$0.97
15:57:09	BUY	No	0.1067	10	$1.07
15:57:09	BUY	No	0.1	32	$3.18
16:10:39	BUY	Yes	0.79	117	$92.26
11:57:06	BUY	Yes	0.79	21	$16.43
21:00:25	SELL	Yes	0.78	56	$43.94
01:36:42	SELL	Yes	0.8778787879	99	$86.91
01:33:18	SELL	Yes	0.9	167	$150.16
01:33:18	BUY	No	0.11	56	$6.16
23:02:22	SELL	No	0.0850215208	42	$3.56
00:09:16	SELL	No	0.11	31	$3.41
22:52:03	SELL	No	0.13	11	$1.46
17:13:30	SELL	Yes	0.86	0	$0.20
15:50:18	SELL	No	0.116	20	$2.32
08:04:13	SELL	Yes	0.86	97	$83.43
22:51:16	SELL	No	0.1464882287	36	$5.23
22:40:43	SELL	No	0.2	35	$7.00
22:26:51	SELL	No	0.2	20	$4.00
14:57:21	SELL	No	0.25	40	$10.00
12:03:31	SELL	No	0.26	83	$21.58
11:56:09	SELL	No	0.26	80	$20.80
11:42:10	SELL	No	0.26	23	$5.98
11:23:15	SELL	No	0.26	20	$5.20
11:13:45	SELL	No	0.29	10	$2.90
11:13:45	SELL	No	0.29	20	$5.80