PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4f9fc5c60f4314f5160906d9072235e09e887f43

Realised P&L
$-451.70
Volume
$18.3k
Markets traded
207
Open portfolio
$60.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded207
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7100.605$22.30$3.87
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0050.009$9.50+$4.13
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4000.350$8.75$1.25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.6100.865$8.18+$2.41
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · No0.1700.150$4.90$0.65
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No0.3100.455$2.94+$0.94
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0700.065$1.86$0.14
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · No0.3800.305$1.61$0.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 08:06Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.077$6.54
09-04 21:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETBUY0.3799998681$1.21
09-04 21:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETBUY0.4599999496$4.38
09-04 21:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETBUY0.6934409086$19.03
09-04 07:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETBUY0.6057402037$7.11
09-04 07:32Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETBUY0.3499999803$7.11
09-04 07:31Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?BUY0.1699999789$5.55
09-03 23:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETSELL0.0797605473$1.40
09-03 23:25Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETBUY0.5699999966$10.00
09-03 23:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETBUY0.1543328961$10.00
09-03 23:21Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETBUY0.4499999797$10.00
09-03 23:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETSELL0.73$9.74
09-03 23:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETBUY0.699999985$9.34
09-03 23:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETBUY0.939999996$9.34
09-03 23:12Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETSELL0.19$11.84