Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.78. up 0.04 over the period, from 0.73. Range 0.73 to 0.82. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.78	2,064	2,064
0.79	1,278	3,342
0.80	238	3,580
0.81	104	3,684
0.84	10	3,694
0.85	114	3,808
0.86	326	4,134
0.87	20	4,154
0.88	120	4,274
0.90	8	4,282
0.91	586	4,868
0.92	40	4,908

Spread0.01Mid0.78

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.77	2,248	2,248
0.76	598	2,846
0.75	467	3,314
0.74	104	3,418
0.71	250	3,668
0.70	30	3,698
0.66	20	3,718
0.51	484	4,201
0.50	5	4,206
0.45	30	4,236
0.01	5	4,241

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.23	2,248	2,248
0.24	598	2,846
0.25	467	3,314
0.26	104	3,418
0.29	250	3,668
0.30	30	3,698
0.34	20	3,718
0.49	484	4,201
0.50	5	4,206
0.55	30	4,236
0.99	5	4,241

Spread0.01Mid0.23

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.22	2,064	2,064
0.21	1,278	3,342
0.20	238	3,580
0.19	104	3,684
0.16	10	3,694
0.15	114	3,808
0.14	326	4,134
0.13	20	4,154
0.12	120	4,274
0.10	8	4,282
0.09	586	4,868
0.08	40	4,908

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
vtx	Yes	268.61
X-Rabbit.Sezu	Yes	240.83
HFT-PRO	Yes	96.22
molodoyy	Yes	87.4
2B9S	Yes	40
tradetosurvive1	Yes	20
1in1000	Yes	20
RubenSZ	Yes	13.33
johnthek	Yes	5
0xaD6b5620c965A56A409b4D5bf9CaCAD71469f50D-1774881273863	Yes	3.49
0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951	Yes	2.52
AiBird	No	300
0xa5ef…2966	No	267.11
AJSV	No	63.76
Linslav	No	40
pppnn	No	40
0x4629…f3b1	No	30
0x2858…da85	No	20
GuyFromTinder	No	15.05
GingerMcKenna	No	11

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
17:36:03	SELL	Yes	0.77	20	$15.40
09:25:45	SELL	Yes	0.78	6	$4.67
09:25:42	BUY	No	0.21	36	$7.56
09:25:42	BUY	No	0.21	5	$1.05
09:25:41	BUY	No	0.21	15	$3.15
09:25:41	BUY	No	0.21	10	$2.10
09:25:41	BUY	No	0.21	5	$1.05
02:53:35	BUY	No	0.21	5	$1.05
19:32:56	BUY	No	0.19	40	$7.60
11:39:29	SELL	No	0.22	1	$0.22
11:38:36	SELL	No	0.2295	20	$4.59
01:18:26	SELL	No	0.22	1	$0.19
00:59:17	SELL	Yes	0.77	1	$0.43
20:42:20	SELL	Yes	0.75	1	$0.81
20:42:19	SELL	Yes	0.75	1	$1.09
20:42:19	BUY	No	0.25	19	$4.86
20:42:19	BUY	No	0.24	20	$4.74
20:42:19	SELL	Yes	0.79	128	$101.07
20:42:19	BUY	No	0.2299999914	21	$4.80
19:51:08	SELL	No	0.2	20	$4.00
16:55:15	SELL	Yes	0.79	0	$0.17
16:55:15	SELL	No	0.2	20	$4.00
16:51:05	SELL	Yes	0.79	2	$1.45
19:27:10	SELL	No	0.2	20	$3.96
19:27:10	SELL	Yes	0.79	0	$0.17