0xaD6b5620c965A56A409b4D5bf9CaCAD71469f50D-1774881273863
0xad6b5620c965a56a409b4d5bf9cacad71469f50d
- Realised P&L
- $-12.60
- Volume
- $23.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,014
- Open portfolio
- $7.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,014
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$194.23at 0.217US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$40.44at 0.080US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$17.10at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 30?
- +$14.54at 0.064Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
- +$14.18at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on May 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 08:24 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.50 |
| 09-21 08:18 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? | BUY | 0.0469999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:19 | Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? | SELL | 0.71 | $6.98 |
| 09-21 04:18 | Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? | SELL | 0.5 | $4.50 |
| 09-20 22:18 | Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? | BUY | 0.0530946594 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 16:19 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.50 |
| 09-19 10:20 | Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 10:19 | Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the September meeting? | BUY | 0.0569999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 10:19 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? | BUY | 0.5449999164 | $1.50 |
| 09-18 08:18 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.50 |
| 09-17 22:18 | Will SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 2-5%? | BUY | 0.035 | $0.25 |
| 09-17 14:16 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 20:49 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.0012987013 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 20:44 | Will Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 19:47 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |