PolyBot

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Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.38. up 0.15 over the period, from 0.23. Range 0.15 to 0.44. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.39209209
0.4020229
0.4320249
0.4440289
0.4557346
0.6550396
0.6640436
0.7440476
0.846481
0.85440921
0.8620941
0.942401,181

Spread0.03Mid0.38

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.3699
0.35125134
0.3477211
0.1810221
0.1320241
0.11120361

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.6499
0.65125134
0.6677211
0.8210221
0.8720241
0.89120361

Spread0.03Mid0.63

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.61209209
0.6020229
0.5720249
0.5640289
0.5557346
0.3550396
0.3440436
0.2640476
0.166481
0.15440921
0.1420941
0.062401,181

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
chaosj88Yes240.06
1in1000Yes199.62
ksassYes97
0x55264396aB866F4871bBC7Fda2559CB917F47380-1776876588771Yes20
Dr.PNLYes11.74
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527Yes10.4
pootytherewardfarmerYes2.5
_test_i075_CAND_11b7Yes2.02
0xa5ef…2966No505.51
tiongbuNo20.1
2B9SNo20
HaradwaithNo10.1
0xf528…7e5bNo9
tradetosurvive1No7.5
AJSVNo7.46
GuyFromTinderNo3.09

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:07:09BUYNo0.55$2.50
07:05:35BUYNo0.510$5.00
07:05:33BUYNo0.55$2.50
07:04:42BUYYes0.4530$13.50
06:19:39BUYYes0.3520$7.00
06:11:09BUYYes0.2520$5.00
03:28:42BUYYes0.31108$33.37
03:27:39BUYYes0.3160$18.60
02:31:18BUYYes0.289$2.52
02:20:20BUYYes0.213633265244$9.40
23:22:26BUYYes0.213$2.68
23:22:00BUYYes0.1950$9.50
20:06:05BUYYes0.1820$3.60
14:32:39SELLYes0.190999549822$4.24
07:37:05SELLYes0.2120$4.20
07:06:06SELLYes0.213$0.61
07:06:05SELLYes0.223$0.64
07:06:05SELLYes0.2354301546240$56.51
18:08:18SELLNo0.7520$15.00
05:57:42BUYYes0.2120$4.20
05:34:45BUYYes0.2113$2.73
23:52:32SELLNo0.7939$30.79
17:52:29BUYNo0.7929$22.93
17:52:24BUYNo0.796$4.69
17:48:54BUYNo0.7943$33.85