PolyBot

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Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://lmarena.ai/
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.04. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.07. Range 0.04 to 0.07. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.05443443
0.061,6952,138
0.077,1159,253
0.094009,653
0.59209,673
0.8175010,423
0.8363911,062
0.841,11312,175
0.871,37013,546
0.901,95915,505
0.933,30818,813
0.9550619,319

Spread0.01Mid0.04

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.04479479
0.031,0391,519
0.027,3018,819
0.016,26815,087

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.96479479
0.971,0391,519
0.987,3018,819
0.996,26815,087

Spread0.01Mid0.95

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.95443443
0.941,6952,138
0.937,1159,253
0.914009,653
0.41209,673
0.1975010,423
0.1763911,062
0.161,11312,175
0.131,37013,546
0.101,95915,505
0.073,30818,813
0.0550619,319

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Dr.PNLYes497.05
mrmullerYes153.13
1BTCis1BTCYes115.48
AJSVYes101.66
0x2E1C6E971cff5c3259090d3dEa7802A15e4eDB61-1779115991589Yes100
protonboyYes97.26
thecaricatureYes80.01
Numitus1994Yes43.66
dropmepleaseYes40
53asdadYes24.2
PeryperyYes20.33
tweetmasterYes17
0xc6d7…4399Yes4.8
HyperlongNo651
macrosteaksNo194
XenyNo183.15
brad20166No100
Midas14No80
LornaPredictsNo40
Ogre-MagiNo20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
12:34:48SELLYes0.0420$0.80
12:34:39SELLYes0.049915384639$1.95
02:50:39SELLNo0.943$2.96
09:44:45SELLYes0.0520$1.00
09:44:42BUYNo0.953$3.00
09:44:37BUYNo0.94180$169.20
09:27:19SELLYes0.062$0.11
16:25:50BUYNo0.9369$64.17
16:08:05BUYNo0.93125$116.25
21:02:09SELLYes0.0720$1.40
21:50:02BUYYes0.0820$1.60
21:50:02BUYYes0.075294117653$4.00
08:57:27SELLYes0.0610$0.60
12:01:07SELLNo0.920$0.40
19:58:58BUYYes0.0825$2.00
06:27:51SELLNo0.921$0.92
20:39:57SELLYes0.0715$1.04
20:39:42SELLYes0.069897333375$5.24
09:14:10SELLYes0.0663$3.78
09:13:39BUYYes0.0763$4.41
08:11:16SELLNo0.9220$18.40
08:11:15SELLNo0.925$5.02
08:11:12SELLNo0.9340$37.20
08:11:10SELLNo0.93240$223.53
02:54:39SELLNo0.931$1.25