PolyBot

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Will AI solve the Riemann Hypothesis in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.09. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.07. Range 0.07 to 0.09. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0977
0.101,0211,028
0.11101,037
0.1591,047
0.1681,055
0.17261,081
0.201,0002,081
0.21502,131
0.30152,146
0.581002,246
0.594832,729
0.63102,739

Spread0.01Mid0.08

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.08100100
0.079901,090
0.06841,174
0.058682,042
0.049643,007
0.037503,757
0.024,6968,452
0.013,23711,689

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.92100100
0.939901,090
0.94841,174
0.958682,042
0.969643,007
0.977503,757
0.984,6968,452
0.993,23711,689

Spread0.01Mid0.92

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9177
0.901,0211,028
0.89101,037
0.8591,047
0.8481,055
0.83261,081
0.801,0002,081
0.79502,131
0.70152,146
0.421002,246
0.414832,729
0.37102,739

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Drunken-MentatYes1,172.77
xtxpleasecallmeYes115.79
Breadin3languagesYes62.5
tradetosurvive1Yes50
0x651A84eC4AAB705bB3d8f4c831ef46eCdbC622E9-1763158430545Yes40
Numitus1994Yes21.56
youtube-traderYes20
jdkfbsbdskjbfjksqYes7.5
h038596027355No1,113.13
KolmogorovDoobNo149
0x1dec…0f87No104.36
nosolutionNo54.95
nanamomoNo50
Elias.ThornwellNo11.3
lmartradingNo4.3
LabEmaNo1.77
0x2B733d127F58809eCF9917100A7F7A946F6F174E-1774267513940No1.29

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:40:57BUYYes0.0856$4.46
12:09:04BUYNo0.92999997182$1.65
09:37:41SELLYes0.0780$5.60
21:31:15SELLYes0.0638$2.30
21:31:03SELLYes0.0620$1.20
21:30:55SELLYes0.0620$1.20
21:30:55SELLYes0.0620$1.20
21:30:54SELLYes0.07107$7.49
21:30:52BUYNo0.929999999121$19.80
21:30:52BUYNo0.9320$18.60
07:14:58SELLNo0.9220$18.40
07:14:55BUYYes0.0770$4.90
07:10:47BUYYes0.0720$1.40
15:26:22SELLYes0.0620$1.20
13:40:52SELLYes0.0620$1.20
13:40:50SELLYes0.0654054054111$7.26
13:40:43SELLYes0.07908$63.55
08:04:41BUYYes0.0820$1.60
23:46:37BUYYes0.0921$1.89
23:21:08SELLNo0.9148$43.91
23:21:02SELLNo0.9120$18.20
23:19:50SELLNo0.9180$72.80
23:19:50SELLNo0.91140$127.40
23:19:50SELLNo0.9120$18.20
23:19:35BUYYes0.08715$57.19