PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Drunken-Mentat

0x588ce22fb2bf698e5a3f61447a44b3afe0ad1bf4

Realised P&L
$5.1k
Volume
$659.8k
Markets traded
705
Open portfolio
$16.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded705
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5290.795$3.2k+$1.1k
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5200.930$1.9k+$831.20
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 · No0.6070.955$907.25+$330.75
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8160.855$897.75+$41.25
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.7730.785$863.50+$13.50
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · No0.6440.925$703.87+$213.83
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? · No0.3030.420$630.00+$175.00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1760.125$625.00−$254.99
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.9300.945$567.01+$9.00
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31? · No0.8230.815$550.87−$5.73
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.7140.871$522.60+$94.50
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.5510.890$480.60+$183.03
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.7100.915$458.87+$103.01
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.7300.845$430.95+$58.80
Kash Patel out by December 31? · No0.7900.825$412.50+$17.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 03:36EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?BUY0.79$31.60
09-21 16:50EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?BUY0.7769702093$60.00
09-20 22:22Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?BUY0.88$264.00
09-20 22:18Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?BUY0.843$168.60
09-20 22:17Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?BUY0.842$42.10
09-20 22:17Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?BUY0.8415$50.49
09-20 22:12EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?BUY0.766762554$45.00
09-15 17:08No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.52$79.04
09-15 07:04No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.542933987$399.80
08-20 05:27Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.48$35.04
08-01 07:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.85$425.00
08-01 07:10Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.48$48.00
07-15 23:01Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?BUY0.87$34.80
07-15 23:01Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?BUY0.87$60.90
07-13 13:22Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?BUY0.71$355.00