PolyBot

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Traders

nosolution

0xad33163c32a6ba76a5508bb18eaafaa9a9051b5d

Realised P&L
$23.73
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · No0.5420.735$677.64+$177.64
Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026? · No0.7290.900$123.38+$23.38
Will AI solve the strong Goldbach conjecture in 2026? · No0.8800.945$107.40+$7.40
Will AI solve the odd perfect number problem in 2026? · No0.9180.935$101.79+$1.79
Will AI solve Beal's conjecture in 2026? · No0.8200.830$101.28+$1.28
Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026? · No0.6700.790$58.96+$8.96
Will AI solve the Collatz conjecture in 2026? · No0.8700.925$53.16+$3.16
Will AI solve the twin prime conjecture in 2026? · No0.9100.920$50.55+$0.55
Will AI solve the Riemann Hypothesis in 2026? · No0.9100.915$50.27+$0.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 09:57Will AI solve the odd perfect number problem in 2026?BUY0.9199999845$50.00
10-04 09:56Will AI solve the strong Goldbach conjecture in 2026?BUY0.8899999886$50.00
10-04 09:56Will AI solve Beal's conjecture in 2026?BUY0.8399999993$50.00
10-01 07:59Will AI solve the twin prime conjecture in 2026?BUY0.9099999991$50.00
10-01 07:58Will AI solve Beal's conjecture in 2026?BUY0.8$50.00
10-01 07:58Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?BUY0.7499999963$50.00
10-01 07:57Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?BUY0.6699999971$50.00
09-28 17:01Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9599999969$200.00
09-17 07:19Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8599999997$100.00
09-16 09:53Will AI solve the Riemann Hypothesis in 2026?BUY0.9099999991$50.00
09-16 09:52Will AI solve the odd perfect number problem in 2026?BUY0.9171750904$50.00
09-16 09:51Will AI solve the strong Goldbach conjecture in 2026?BUY0.8699999988$50.00
09-16 09:50Will AI solve the Collatz conjecture in 2026?BUY0.8699999988$50.00
09-16 09:49Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?BUY0.709999998$50.00
09-16 09:42Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5423267638$500.00