nosolution
0xad33163c32a6ba76a5508bb18eaafaa9a9051b5d
- Realised P&L
- $-146.04
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $703.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.542 | 0.380 | $350.34 | −$149.66 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.815 | $94.77 | −$5.23 |
| Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.800 | $56.34 | +$6.34 |
| Will AI solve the Collatz conjecture in 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.930 | $53.45 | +$3.45 |
| Will AI solve the strong Goldbach conjecture in 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.870 | $50.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will AI solve the Riemann Hypothesis in 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.905 | $49.73 | −$0.27 |
| Will AI solve the odd perfect number problem in 2026? · No | 0.917 | 0.905 | $49.34 | −$0.66 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 07:19 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 09:53 | Will AI solve the Riemann Hypothesis in 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 09:52 | Will AI solve the odd perfect number problem in 2026? | BUY | 0.9171750904 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 09:51 | Will AI solve the strong Goldbach conjecture in 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999988 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 09:50 | Will AI solve the Collatz conjecture in 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999988 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 09:49 | Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026? | BUY | 0.709999998 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 09:42 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5423267638 | $500.00 |