PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nanamomo

0xdfd4c35cccfcc13ec90ca6435b619ff542b8e2d4

Realised P&L
$-383.60
Volume
$19.2k
Markets traded
452
Open portfolio
$390.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded452
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.9200.745$74.50−$17.50
Will AI solve the Riemann Hypothesis in 2026? · No0.9300.915$45.75−$0.75
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.7300.645$38.70−$5.10
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? · No0.8200.775$23.25−$1.35
Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? · No0.8751.000$20.00+$2.50
Plague case in US by December 31? · No0.9100.955$19.10+$0.90
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.9200.945$18.90+$0.50
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31? · No0.9250.942$18.83+$0.33
Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access? · Yes0.6600.825$16.50+$3.30
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No0.7600.815$16.30+$1.10
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · No0.8100.795$15.90−$0.30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.8200.885$10.79+$0.79
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? · No0.5300.485$9.70−$0.90
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? · No0.9350.950$9.49+$0.14
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8900.905$9.05+$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 15:08Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.7599999625$4.05
10-24 16:48Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETBUY0.61$3.05
10-24 16:28Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.6199999449$3.15
10-24 05:43Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETBUY0.6499999409$3.30
10-24 01:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETBUY0.7099999742$3.85
10-23 19:48Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETBUY0.78$3.95
10-23 15:28Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.7699999645$3.90
10-23 12:28Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.6799999921$3.45
10-23 08:38Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETBUY0.85$4.30
10-23 08:28Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.65$3.25
10-23 02:28Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.6899999685$3.50
10-23 02:08Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETBUY0.5899999384$3.35
10-22 22:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.6099999488$3.10
10-22 17:03Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETBUY0.6499998818$3.30
10-22 15:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.5999999607$3.05