El-popo
0x1decc3951f294407a3e1c5fc6f277b7430de0f87
- Realised P&L
- $309.19
- Volume
- $39.0k
- Markets traded
- 321
- Open portfolio
- $4.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded321
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.00at 0.120Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
- +$24.68at 0.649Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
- +$21.09at 0.865Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
- +$20.31at 0.797Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
- +$19.34at 0.796Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:16 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-11 House seat? | SELL | 0.9701862396 | $65.43 |
| 11-01 21:03 | Turkey military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $249.79 |
| 11-01 20:47 | Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026? | BUY | 0.959 | $5.75 |
| 11-01 20:47 | Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026? | BUY | 0.956 | $5.74 |
| 11-01 20:47 | Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026? | BUY | 0.943 | $32.06 |
| 11-01 20:47 | Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026? | BUY | 0.942 | $28.26 |
| 11-01 06:56 | Will the Democratic Party win the SC-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.9700763621 | $254.07 |
| 10-31 14:03 | Will the Democrats win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999999 | $249.55 |
| 10-31 00:05 | Israel Election: Arab party disqualified? | SELL | 0.965 | $257.22 |
| 10-30 07:27 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.943 | $47.15 |
| 10-30 07:27 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.942 | $141.30 |
| 10-30 07:22 | Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.948 | $2.18 |
| 10-30 07:16 | Will the Democratic Party win the IN-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.9656216472 | $163.44 |
| 10-30 05:26 | Will the Republican Party win the OK-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.9289109192 | $157.04 |
| 10-29 13:53 | Israel Election: Arab party disqualified? | BUY | 0.9379999996 | $125.27 |