Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.21. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.24. Range 0.20 to 0.24. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.23	30	30
0.24	74	104
0.36	8	112
0.66	5	117
0.67	100	217
0.68	16	233
0.84	32	265
0.91	44	309
0.92	64	373
0.93	5	378
0.96	256	634
0.97	5	640

Spread0.04Mid0.21

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.19	27	27
0.18	241	268
0.17	30	298
0.16	187	485
0.12	5	490
0.07	7	498
0.06	167	665
0.05	1,000	1,665
0.04	500	2,165
0.03	2,172	4,337
0.02	1,250	5,587
0.01	10,763	16,350

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.81	27	27
0.82	241	268
0.83	30	298
0.84	187	485
0.88	5	490
0.93	7	498
0.94	167	665
0.95	1,000	1,665
0.96	500	2,165
0.97	2,172	4,337
0.98	1,250	5,587
0.99	10,763	16,350

Spread0.04Mid0.79

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.77	30	30
0.76	74	104
0.64	8	112
0.34	5	117
0.33	100	217
0.32	16	233
0.16	32	265
0.09	44	309
0.08	64	373
0.07	5	378
0.04	256	634
0.03	5	640

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
molodoyy	Yes	957.91
polypotato	Yes	921.87
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	705.39
tradetosurvive1	Yes	121.73
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	96
macbetho	Yes	81.9
ufodisc	Yes	74.28
altsamman	Yes	64.05
ImSweating	Yes	51
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	49.7
0x651A84eC4AAB705bB3d8f4c831ef46eCdbC622E9-1763158430545	Yes	47.47
NotInventedHere-904	Yes	46.86
burge146	Yes	45.71
johnthek	Yes	32.99
0x6b0e…e3ea	Yes	19.48
GuyFromTinder	Yes	18.99
wildboar08	Yes	14.6
crossFiter	Yes	10.52
0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951	Yes	8.96
winexecutescale	Yes	8.95

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:15:49	BUY	No	0.81	10	$8.10
11:15:36	BUY	No	0.81	20	$16.20
17:49:19	SELL	No	0.76	26	$19.52
17:30:29	SELL	No	0.77	0	$0.24
04:05:16	SELL	No	0.77	19	$14.63
02:30:11	SELL	No	0.77	10	$7.70
02:30:05	SELL	No	0.77	33	$25.04
10:32:20	BUY	No	0.81	43	$34.44
14:52:02	BUY	No	0.79	54	$42.66
14:26:47	BUY	No	0.78	16	$12.14
15:21:41	BUY	No	0.7799999958	14	$11.25
06:52:42	SELL	No	0.76	7	$5.32
17:39:32	SELL	No	0.77	22	$16.94
17:39:27	SELL	No	0.77	30	$23.10
10:08:11	SELL	No	0.75	22	$16.81
08:28:41	SELL	Yes	0.1971428571	35	$6.90
03:53:06	SELL	No	0.75	8	$5.69
18:36:14	SELL	No	0.76	21	$15.96
15:31:51	BUY	No	0.8	45	$36.00
22:22:36	BUY	No	0.75	10	$7.50
18:18:41	SELL	No	0.7120441537	49	$34.83
18:07:21	SELL	No	0.7	10	$7.00
17:56:00	BUY	Yes	0.22	20	$4.40
17:56:00	SELL	No	0.79	25	$19.75
18:28:02	SELL	No	0.78	6	$4.70