altsamman
0xd75cede027145ba0665674e0d2a5ce004e5824b5
- Realised P&L
- $-63.92
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $13.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026? · Yes | 0.541 | 0.210 | $13.45 | −$21.22 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET · Up | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.304 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.76at 0.420Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
- +$14.99at 0.659Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
- +$4.32at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
- +$1.84at 0.298Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.55at 0.165Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 11:47 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $6.00 |
| 09-15 11:46 | Will AI solve P versus NP in 2026? | SELL | 0.0239153362 | $3.27 |
| 09-15 11:45 | Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026? | BUY | 0.5230263027 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 11:45 | Will AI solve the Riemann Hypothesis in 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $19.80 |
| 09-15 11:44 | Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999982 | $7.67 |
| 09-15 11:43 | Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 09-14 07:40 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999947 | $7.90 |
| 09-12 22:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $9.51 |
| 09-12 22:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 22:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 22:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 22:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 22:07 | Will AI solve the Riemann Hypothesis in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 22:04 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $25.45 |
| 09-11 15:16 | Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $11.25 |